Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f4a8c81fa756a1de5cda48ad2e9e1b9609dcb5399a621f7d7545ffbc5fecef8

Rebuilt 2 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $55,232

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,711 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	66c	7,598$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,597.96	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under	39c	4,812$1,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,855.38	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under	32c	2,478$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.97	437	37.8%165 W · 272 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	29c	2,101$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.02	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	34c	1,576$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.22	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93aa…5270backed Under	20c	1,522$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.06	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	63c	1,168$737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.74	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	111	47.7%53 W · 58 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	64c	784.9$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.56	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	74c	767.18$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.53	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	78c	747.37$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.53	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under	39c	700$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273	144	33.3%48 W · 96 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under	37c	540.54$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	68c	509.38$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	35c	509.22$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.88	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over	65c	507.69$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.69	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under	31c	491.8$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.17	238	57.6%137 W · 101 L	+22.5wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under	35c	468.79$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.02	190	26.3%50 W · 140 L	-10.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Over	67c	453.64$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.36	341	22.3%76 W · 265 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under	36c	429.94$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.78	315	53%167 W · 148 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over	65c	406.1$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.1	89	55.1%49 W · 40 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbff…d177backed Under	37c	403.74$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.38	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-3.6wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under	22c	374.76$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.45	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…d413backed Under	28c	362.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	28cpaid	+57.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under	34c	349.26$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.75	133	51.1%68 W · 65 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	34c	310.65$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.48	136	43.4%59 W · 77 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	34c	302.06$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.47	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under	40c	275$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under	33c	249.71$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.38	388	19.1%74 W · 314 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	38c	212.91$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.86	418	57.9%242 W · 176 L	+14.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed Under	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+3.4wins	+0.24per pick	54cpaid	+54.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	35c	167.87$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.08	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	63c	159.47$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.81	414	51.4%213 W · 201 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	63c	159.47$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.81	355	49.9%177 W · 178 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	35c	158.16$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.4	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	94	62.8%59 W · 35 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Over	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	93	59.1%55 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	36c	154$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.44	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	34c	149.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.5	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over	65c	148.42$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.42	165	47.9%79 W · 86 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	69c	143.1$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.69	289	64.4%186 W · 103 L	+42.6wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under	35c	139.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	413	44.1%182 W · 231 L	-16.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	70c	134.2$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.28	356	58.7%209 W · 147 L	+35.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+28%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcdce…fa11backed Under	39c	128.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd924…d06dbacked Over	65c	123.08$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.08	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Under	34c	117.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	248	49.6%123 W · 125 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d74…0324backed Over	66c	111.39$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.87	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under	11c	108.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	88	17%15 W · 73 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Over	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	-19.9wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Under	38c	99.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	126	36.5%46 W · 80 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under	39c	94.85$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.99	203	30.5%62 W · 141 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Under	36c	83.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over	63c	80.67$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.71	244	48.4%118 W · 126 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over	62c	80.65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.65	524	41.4%217 W · 307 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce3…c36cbacked Over	65c	77$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	63c	68.48$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.01	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under	39c	61.54$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	62c	60.9$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.14	258	65.9%170 W · 88 L	+40.1wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Under	37c	58.38$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	61c	55$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.45	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa734…65dbbacked Under	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	76	35.5%27 W · 49 L	-7.5wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c4d…33acbacked Over	63c	52.12$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.12	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.26per pick	57cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over	59c	50.85$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.85	138	50.7%70 W · 68 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	63c	49.51$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.32	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd371…d25fbacked Over	64c	46.9$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.9	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over	65c	46.14$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.15	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over	65c	42$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	315	50.8%160 W · 155 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under	36c	36.86$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	184	35.3%65 W · 119 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over	63c	35.62$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.18	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+5.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over	72c	34.7$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.72	338	43.5%147 W · 191 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	35c	34.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked Under	32c	34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	35c	32$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.31	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over	63c	31.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	370	57.3%212 W · 158 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7891…c020backed Over	62c	30.14$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.42	48	70.8%34 W · 14 L	+5.7wins	+0.12per pick	59cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	61c	26.79$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.34	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Over	64c	23.44$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.44	164	53%87 W · 77 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf945…6c15backed Over	65c	23.15$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.1	52	75%39 W · 13 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Over	63c	21.89$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.1	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	-6.9wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	183	71%130 W · 53 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb2…82e5backed Over	63c	15.89$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.81	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	73c	15.1$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.06	477	44.2%211 W · 266 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5this page
Guatemala vs. Czechia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5Over won
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5Over won
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5Over won
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5Under won
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)Czechia won
Spread: Czechia (-2.5)Guatemala won
Spread: Guatemala (-1.5)Czechia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event