Fifa International · resolved market
Guatemala vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dc458d94348c2e25dbdffba316cd8ff93a37307336027350c5a5c5367d2f874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,436$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.88 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 945.04$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.18 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed No | 61c | 495.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 393.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.55 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 62c | 328$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.64 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 40c | 321.15$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.69 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 34c | 299.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.2 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 42c | 299.4$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 32c | 292.87$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 68c | 235.14$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 63c | 233.36$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.01 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed No | 61c | 160.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 61c | 160$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 62c | 157.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 66c | 144.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Yes | 36c | 139.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 60c | 122.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 60c | 104.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e0…c1bbbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Yes | 38c | 64.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 67c | 62.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 62.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 60c | 57.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 60c | 46.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…f77dbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…5a88backed No | 62c | 32.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yes | 38c | 31.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb2…d7f2backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 43c | 24.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 19.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed No | 62c | 16.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Guatemala vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Czechia (-1.5)Czechia won
- Spread: Czechia (-2.5)Guatemala won
- Spread: Guatemala (-1.5)Czechia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.