Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Czechia (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0a31811c8ee76367308aad562bd4947a0c8864b71b91fa6e3262b3a493c589c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guatemalaof Czechia, Guatemala
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Czechia | 6c | 5,731$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.26 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Czechia | 52c | 1,980$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.59 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guatemala | 51c | 1,700$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.97 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f8…c9e9backed Guatemala | 60c | 1,632$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Czechia | 40c | 1,494$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Czechia | 41c | 1,472$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Guatemala | 74c | 877.31$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.3 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Czechia | 36c | 752.44$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.01 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Guatemala | 61c | 656.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.67 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Guatemala | 59c | 595.33$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.09 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Guatemala | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Czechia | 40c | 496.41$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.31 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Czechia | 14c | 457$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Guatemala | 66c | 423$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Guatemala | 59c | 423$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Czechia | 31c | 396.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Guatemala | 67c | 373$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.65 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Czechia | 53c | 311.31$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 242 | 42.6%103 W · 139 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Guatemala | 62c | 300.19$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.47 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Czechia | 38c | 300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Czechia | 47c | 299.32$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Czechia | 38c | 228.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Guatemala | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Czechia | 40c | 180.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Czechia | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Czechia | 49c | 165$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Guatemala | 60c | 161.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Czechia | 46c | 156.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Czechia | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Guatemala | 58c | 123$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Czechia | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Czechia | 40c | 117.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Guatemala | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Guatemala | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…bc65backed Guatemala | 60c | 87.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Guatemala | 53c | 66.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Guatemala | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…0201backed Czechia | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Guatemala | 60c | 54.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Czechia | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Czechia | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 17%19 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Guatemala | 61c | 40.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Czechia | 40c | 37.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Guatemala | 60c | 31.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Czechia | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Guatemala | 63c | 29.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Guatemala | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked Guatemala | 50c | 21.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Guatemala | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Guatemala | 65c | 19.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Czechia (-2.5)this page
- Guatemala vs. Czechia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Czechia (-1.5)Czechia won
- Spread: Guatemala (-1.5)Czechia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.