Fifa International · resolved market
Hungary vs. Finland: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4672a3b151108514e12637c71c396d5e5f639463a0f6bea141973294ea9e533c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 4,830$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.65 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 43c | 4,169$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.73 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 2,111$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.27 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.98 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 54c | 399.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Yes | 30c | 267$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.9 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…740cbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked No | 8c | 202.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 54c | 199.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 63c | 198.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.32 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d05…864cbacked No | 56c | 189.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 44c | 148.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 122.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…f853backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 40c | 79.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 74.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 52c | 72.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 54c | 49.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…0fc8backed Yes | 46c | 43.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 54c | 40.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 55c | 38.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked No | 61c | 36.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 46c | 33.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 42c | 33.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 33.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 53c | 31.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…ad22backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 39c | 31.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…ddc8backed No | 54c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 55c | 25.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 52c | 22.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 50c | 22.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 65c | 16.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hungary vs. Finland: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Finland (-1.5)Hungary won
- Spread: Hungary (-1.5)Finland won
- Spread: Hungary (-2.5)Finland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.