Fifa International · resolved market
Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x931596a37230b30413f3e11b04c12f4d83015cf2d9c89cf891973f1f1431a581
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 39c | 2,457$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.23 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 70c | 2,133$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.88 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 2c | 2,056$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 67c | 1,414$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.72 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 27c | 1,308$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.68 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 1,296$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.56 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 760.12$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.47 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 73c | 550.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.63 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 34c | 503.43$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 33c | 482.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 65c | 307.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 31c | 295.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…02babacked Over | 71c | 262.24$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 27c | 239.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Under | 33c | 207$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 67c | 207$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 73c | 205.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 27c | 183.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 177.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 34c | 165.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 30c | 151.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…ffd7backed Over | 72c | 140.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 134.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 71c | 112.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 40c | 106.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 31c | 102$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Over | 73c | 94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 68c | 73.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 27c | 67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 52.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked Over | 77c | 41.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 161 | 63.4%102 W · 59 L | +25.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…4871backed Under | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 38c | 32.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 39c | 31.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 39c | 31.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…f863backed Over | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f39…1617backed Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…51a8backed Over | 70c | 21.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 72c | 16.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 64c | 15.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 1.5this page
- Hungary vs. Finland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Finland (-1.5)Hungary won
- Spread: Hungary (-1.5)Finland won
- Spread: Hungary (-2.5)Finland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.