TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,786
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,786 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under44c5,328$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.4664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under27c4,791$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.114967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over44c2,509$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.9389443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Over66c2,390$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.1916163.4%102 W · 59 L+25.7wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under48c1,632$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.62,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over66c1,508$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.0274034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c1,380$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.24,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over63c1,349$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.692,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c1,315$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.784,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under44c1,202$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.684746.8%22 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd273…9a33backed Under35c1,189$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.154341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over56c1,095$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.0541451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over56c1,095$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.8135549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over47c1,055$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.1445428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over57c967$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.891,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under46c845$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.7218433.7%62 W · 122 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over71c769.01$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.013873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under26c746.32$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0413351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over42c717.33$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.1330220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under52c700$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36414433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over54c555$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.31361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over48c553$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5622450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under53c526.46$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under37c481.97$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.332,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over66c448.79$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.592839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under53c430.19$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.123,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c415.38$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.093,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4128258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over57c348.4$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2413253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under53c324.29$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.653,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1585550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over35c302.86$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8610948.6%53 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Over61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1177659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over42c299$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4222634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under13c275.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.128817%15 W · 73 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Over57c252.58$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6112154.5%66 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over47c210.64$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6419746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under53c206$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2884844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over48c204.15$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7318435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over74c203.02$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0325455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cfc…ab38backed Over51c192.51$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.519644.8%43 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over52c187.56$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.23568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under55c181.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9941857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over57c180.71$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0263151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under53c179.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1124448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over55c179.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7110050%50 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over78c162.46$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7487651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe053…fd08backed Under34c161.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba3…4db1backed Over48c141.4$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.531338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under52c136.67$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.571,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over74c135$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14652.2%24 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d05…864cbacked Under54c129.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.963342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed Over51c127.96$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.544837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d2…d2dcbacked Over39c127$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.47650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c124.92$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9843…266fbacked Over47c123.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.661764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over45c122.52$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.381,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4413838.4%53 W · 85 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over50c87.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9739648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e1…6516backed Over60c81.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.554348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Over62c80.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6424840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9836…5765backed Under46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.82748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a98…dc9cbacked Under67c79.1$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535862.1%36 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac5…d1f9backed Under56c71.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017647.7%84 W · 92 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.439428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3550450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under53c66.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5816758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under53c63.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.541,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over68c63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1615059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under27c59.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2646012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under56c55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.876551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over46c54.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.411,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked Over75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.335875.9%44 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1926835.4%95 W · 173 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1982340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a6…7158backed Under44c52.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.291346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1626047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.55745.6%26 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over75c49.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3312953.5%69 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under55c44.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.431,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011749.6%58 W · 59 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over47c40.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4333345.3%151 W · 182 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a1…32f2backed Over74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under53c39.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.621,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over57c38.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7418764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c37.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd3…14b2backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over52c36.94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under54c32.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4420047%94 W · 106 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under31c32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.072,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over71c31.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.124,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Under52c30.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0321046.7%98 W · 112 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.924257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc4b…0da9backed Over73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.47445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Over74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.037668.4%52 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4206…f874backed Over74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.038270.7%58 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe748…c645backed Under43c26.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.151546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.