Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbbfab9f54622d85b8e47e0893d1d20dcd209686475a43c89fd97a9a06bb5473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 6,830$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.07 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…dff1backed Under | 78c | 4,759$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 75c | 2,130$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.93 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 16c | 1,431$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.9 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 16c | 1,149$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.18 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 14c | 706.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…ced8backed Over | 21c | 488.04$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ee…b403backed Under | 78c | 455.13$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 78c | 418.45$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.03 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 20c | 347.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 346.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 21c | 279.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Over | 20c | 263.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf5…6db3backed Under | 78c | 232.05$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e0…c1bbbacked Under | 80c | 222$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…63f6backed Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 79c | 182.25$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 78c | 171$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 21c | 146.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…0a81backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Under | 77c | 120.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 80c | 107.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 23c | 103.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 80c | 68.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 77c | 65.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 80c | 58.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc899…7652backed Under | 79c | 56.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 80c | 56.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…7d21backed Over | 21c | 49.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Over | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Over | 25c | 45.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…a6debacked Under | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 80c | 40.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 78c | 24.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 79c | 20.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…ddc8backed Under | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab5…a2a0backed Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5this page
- Spain vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Iraq won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.