TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,332 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Under62c35,000$21,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,30017034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over38c32,990$12,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,536.1674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over41c12,226$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb809…2004backed Under65c10,967$7,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.285957.6%34 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over35c4,286$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over22c4,020$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.432,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Under61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78011654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.825537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over34c1,600$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54436250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Over36c1,395$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.4420262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over31c1,300$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.9643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41077845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49014433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under67c743.38$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.3812862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29438351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over34c688.18$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2922919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20435251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over33c500$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1663,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under62c478.59$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4184844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13639050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16838451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over38c370.72$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.581,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over34c347.35$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11810330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under63c343.43$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.951,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Over6c334.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12635352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10235251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Under67c296.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4439648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007424.3%18 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under58c260$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.239951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Under68c244$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.87659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under60c240.31$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.21,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under71c239.44$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4412559.2%74 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over36c230.56$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8325532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under60c199.53$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0215655.1%86 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over25c168.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under58c160$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.235451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under66c156.51$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2111253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under58c156$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5237452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under58c156$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5234851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under62c150.73$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2841857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Over32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811251.8%58 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Under65c150$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over37c149.32$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2513253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over35c142.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.048644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over34c139.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5937051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under64c138.66$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over35c137.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0220330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Over47c136.45$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.139555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb5…6fe9backed Over39c133$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.521338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea1…a3a6backed Over39c131.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5150%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7e0…c1bbbacked Under63c125.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.622766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over25c125.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3216231.5%51 W · 111 L-13.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over37c124.32$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4645120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under59c123$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.434235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under64c114.06$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0618769.5%130 W · 57 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c109.39$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.231,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8687…1db0backed Over37c105.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.384831.3%15 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Under66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3412636.5%46 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4233653.3%179 W · 157 L+0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4237753.8%203 W · 174 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4234351.9%178 W · 165 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over34c92.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.441344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over35c91.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327824.4%19 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdce…fa11backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.294841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under60c88.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.373,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under65c77.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0848152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Over39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9906…7d46backed Over35c71.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752524%6 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe340…3adcbacked Over43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305625%14 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0429639.9%118 W · 178 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb36a…30cabacked Over38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over34c59.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over32c54.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3913351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under76c52.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5814647.3%69 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under65c51.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0584751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e00…d2bfbacked Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204344.2%19 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over39c50.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8150850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Over39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.512933.3%43 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.512252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under64c47.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4223552.8%124 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b6f…aab3backed Under63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.622564%16 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under63c44.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4211755.6%65 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6de2…d0e5backed Over33c43.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.464535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c49…c6c2backed Under71c43.69$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under62c42.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1643653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Over37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked Under68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.819650.5%99 W · 97 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.623453%124 W · 110 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Over38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517738.4%68 W · 109 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4826835.4%95 W · 173 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91a8…0c80backed Under59c34.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.794544.4%20 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.