TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c19,778$10,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,965.553,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under36c17,132$6,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,024.1712146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under11c4,513$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,012.5516116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under38c3,512$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.2417748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over48c3,108$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.847823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under12c2,800$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.9924626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Under42c2,394$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.151952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under24c2,233$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.81,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over63c2,229$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.5674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Under45c1,798$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.045364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c1,771$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.711,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under44c1,608$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.2738819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Over76c1,137$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.28922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick59cpaid-70.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over80c1,125$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over75c1,063$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80014866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under25c999.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.9940736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x419f…9cdcbacked Over76c892.64$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.411070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under45c885.36$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.3627931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under12c861.42$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.913,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over39c849.44$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.283246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.3314829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under31c750.16$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.624235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under39c709.71$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.510942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under15c675.16$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.224,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over63c592.13$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.4125865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over73c588$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.242,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6af1…02c0backed Under18c570.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+319.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe053…fd08backed Under40c568.47$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.762138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over76c526.32$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8720…ea73backed Over73c500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.491957.9%11 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Under69c468.71$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9824849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f4…a47fbacked Over76c463.31$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.071040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under56c452.49$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.135549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed Under24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.679849%48 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93aa…5270backed Under17c411.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over61c404.33$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.042,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over75c400.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0822041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Under25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30017218.6%32 W · 140 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over10c368.12$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6144435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over77c356.26$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over66c343.04$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1735658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over78c328.26$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6813253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under25c297.63$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.843,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Over71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009822.4%22 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over62c276.3$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3128964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Under6c273.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.8417034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over75c267.61$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.741857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over75c259.77$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0825455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under24c248.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0431553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under26c240$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.623440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2221946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under23c220.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.363,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under25c215.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6843737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under25c210.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2923645.3%107 W · 129 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over74c198.67$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.113,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Under24c196.04$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9914342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Over61c185.58$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.687163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under24c185.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.251,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over77c184.42$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14287651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under22c169.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4163151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Over55c166.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4811450.9%58 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10059453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under45c153.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8629639.9%118 W · 178 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under45c153.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8623658.1%137 W · 99 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under24c151.53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.731,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Over75c145$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.752744.4%12 W · 15 L-6.4wins-0.24per pick68cpaid-39.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over23c141$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3811238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over79c133.92$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.88746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under35c131.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.461,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022466.1%148 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf927…5c10backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa90d…ef0ebacked Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e6…2149backed Under19c126.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.072152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Over80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.520053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5e…c32abacked Over76c120.41$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.51825%2 W · 6 L-3.5wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-61.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over11c119.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…d413backed Under21c113.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.78742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+57.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under24c112.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.318643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cfc…ab38backed Over68c109.44$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.429644.8%43 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe340…3adcbacked Over64c109.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705625%14 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb534…06a6backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.382556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b8…243fbacked Under24c104.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.17757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+65.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over76c104.01$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7915143%65 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under31c103.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3316231.5%51 W · 111 L-13.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Over74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7615654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb723…d9dcbacked Over78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011256.3%63 W · 49 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7321955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under35c91.52$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5216925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under38c86.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3732740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b8e…c00dbacked Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddef…d52bbacked Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over62c82.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.369456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under48c81.32$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5314131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66f7…c691backed Over76c80.58$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.248773.6%64 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a6…4791backed Over77c77.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22e7…bfacbacked Over79c74.68$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595046%23 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Under21c72.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2211654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.