TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,194 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb809…2004backed Under46c61,748$28,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,151.835957.6%34 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Over53c36,673$19,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,436.813339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c14,814$6,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,426.913,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under42c6,879$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,963.223,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over35c6,270$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.782,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over56c5,000$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,779.9945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under48c3,598$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.9812146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under39c3,554$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.9317748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ee…b403backed Over57c3,139$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Over53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under42c2,190$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.1925537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over43c2,170$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.132,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over54c2,149$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.44540%18 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under51c2,005$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.317447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24013351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb450…1c12backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under58c1,829$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76913762.8%86 W · 51 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c1,751$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.474,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over54c1,732$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.2823255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over62c1,637$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.233246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Under48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83211155%61 W · 50 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over54c1,600$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86410042%42 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over56c1,600$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89636250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Under63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.32934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over61c1,049$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.4237242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Over54c962.96$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5208355.4%46 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under47c925.73$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.229232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over56c848.26$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.926454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under47c799.91$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.9514433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over56c700$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39238351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Under41c695.98$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.6311654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005066%33 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over29c683.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over55c642.8$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.6837850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3184843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33635251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under46c599.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.9922041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5353…51b9backed Over53c598.1$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.387948.1%38 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.5922639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a24…a0fdbacked Over54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2557851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over57c498.4$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.6715143%65 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d4…c002backed Under52c475.73$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.292045%9 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22423820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22439050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22438451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over58c389.95$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.6720150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over42c388.76$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2819713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc2…4ce9backed Over57c370.95$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over59c358.23$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over43c350$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.543826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Over75c324.67$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.512144.6%54 W · 67 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Over62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004060%24 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c313.74$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1744,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over59c300.76$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9541857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9633120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16835352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16835251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over55c299.36$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.654235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over54c275$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.540343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325b…4466backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over56c260$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.639951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012241%50 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over58c256.4$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8713253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over57c249.59$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4752441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under40c245.55$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.172,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over56c240$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.440848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Under45c223$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.657954.4%43 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under57c222.98$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9832356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under43c220.04$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.621,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over56c213.96$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.763151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under46c208.74$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.743850%19 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14252455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over55c200$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Under78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Under27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1466958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over57c199.98$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.991,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Over53c199$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.472650%13 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…9dbabacked Over60c191.85$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59fc…5054backed Over53c191.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.41250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over54c189.91$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5538439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Over54c185.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009535.8%34 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over57c180.88$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.13,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda39…155fbacked Over60c164.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over62c162.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10059453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over56c160$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.635451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over53c156$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6837452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over56c156$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3634851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under48c155$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1111253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…d413backed Under27c152.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.68742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+57.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c145.97$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.881,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over54c142.8$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1115048%72 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Over61c140$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.411251.8%58 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over56c140$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.437051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.