Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc080bca240564fcb6e569a60587ab21caa12710ea3958a96f1665f10d9758f76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 76c | 11,267$8,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,590.33 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 6,348$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,820.48 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed No | 26c | 2,831$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ee…b403backed Yes | 26c | 2,376$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 73c | 2,321$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.91 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.9 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed No | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,091$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.11 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 32c | 878.42$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.39 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 68c | 695.26$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.85 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…714cbacked Yes | 27c | 599.97$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.98 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 27c | 589.76$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.48 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 32c | 421.22$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.34 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 418.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.55 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 77c | 395.24$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.94 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 381.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.52 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed No | 66c | 317.91$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 36c | 291.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 70c | 275$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 26c | 269.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.93 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b000backed No | 67c | 262.48$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 72c | 258.33$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 24c | 258.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.33 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 68c | 171.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 30c | 152.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.11 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes | 32c | 152$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 18c | 131.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 128.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 73c | 123.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 119.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 66c | 111.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 32c | 107.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 29c | 101.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Yes | 31c | 93.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 73c | 90.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed No | 69c | 81.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked No | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed No | 69c | 79.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 66c | 73.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…d8e8backed No | 66c | 62.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecb…e058backed No | 66c | 61.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Yes | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 66c | 51.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…1ff8backed Yes | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 25c | 42.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 26c | 40.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaa…1f58backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 31.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 69c | 28.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…8ff2backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Iraq won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.