Spread: Spain (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ab28fa38c38c8550a5409359fb802d0f0791de4a1837e253026ee0dd2ec6d83

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Iraqof Spain, Iraq
Resolved: Jun 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $75,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $69,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,142 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb809…2004backed Iraq	40c	18,878$7,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,268.95	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spain	65c	7,637$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked Spain	65c	6,273$4,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,077.17	101	42.6%43 W · 58 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Spain	44c	4,509$2,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.51	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spain	48c	4,191$2,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,020.6	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spain	9c	3,557$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.75	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Iraq	35c	3,427$1,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,237.86	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spain	58c	2,049$1,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,185.49	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Spain	57c	1,982$1,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,129.98	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Iraq	43c	1,781$766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,014.53	292	32.9%96 W · 196 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cd…a98dbacked Spain	57c	1,754$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+16%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Spain	63c	1,580$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	40	65%26 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Iraq	50c	1,500$755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$745	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd2…43f3backed Spain	62c	1,464$914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$914.17	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Iraq	37c	1,445$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$904.94	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked Iraq	51c	1,300$669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Iraq	40c	1,243$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.17	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spain	58c	1,233$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.7	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Spain	53c	1,200$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636	101	33.7%34 W · 67 L	-6.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Iraq	42c	913.79$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	239	49.4%118 W · 121 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Spain	50c	900.86$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.95	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Iraq	37c	879.23$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.85	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Iraq	36c	826.86$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.29	407	36.6%149 W · 258 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spain	24c	810.24$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.03	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Spain	64c	781.25$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	304	65.1%198 W · 106 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Iraq	51c	743.77$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.45	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Spain	57c	719.3$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	140	61.4%86 W · 54 L	+8.2wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spain	40c	708.53$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.37	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Iraq	36c	600.15$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.1	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Spain	57c	587.72$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Spain	60c	550$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Iraq	38c	539.47$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.47	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Spain	65c	537.55$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	264	38.6%102 W · 162 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Iraq	36c	500$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320	228	46.5%106 W · 122 L	+10.3wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Iraq	36c	461.29$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.94	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Spain	57c	438.6$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf08f…d167backed Spain	65c	423.08$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Spain	57c	420.33$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.59	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b20…8eafbacked Spain	62c	399.99$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.99	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Spain	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Iraq	55c	360.61$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.61	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Iraq	50c	342.93$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.12	311	56.6%176 W · 135 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Iraq	39c	324$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.37	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Iraq	36c	321$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.95	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Spain	65c	310$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.5	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+9.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Spain	64c	299.99$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.9	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Iraq	76c	288.54$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.25	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Iraq	47c	287$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.85	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Spain	60c	283.55$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Spain	59c	281.81$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.99	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Iraq	37c	270.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.27	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spain	39c	246.89$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.19	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Iraq	39c	240$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.8	237	32.1%76 W · 161 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Spain	57c	240$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Iraq	36c	232.4$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.74	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Spain	61c	200.73$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.73	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Spain	57c	200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Spain	57c	180$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.6	134	51.5%69 W · 65 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Spain	57c	175.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Spain	54c	174.39$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.04	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50d4…263ebacked Spain	57c	174.14$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Iraq	36c	170.81$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.32	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Spain	14c	159$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.98	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Iraq	36c	154.05$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.05	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Spain	65c	153.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ce…fd49backed Iraq	39c	128.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.21	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Iraq	38c	105.26$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.26	268	35.4%95 W · 173 L	-8.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Spain	60c	100.37$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.88	418	57.9%242 W · 176 L	+14.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Iraq	37c	100.1$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.06	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Spain	63c	100$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	66	56.1%37 W · 29 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Spain	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-31%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6328…1bf3backed Spain	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Iraq	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Iraq	38c	100$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	257	27.2%70 W · 187 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Iraq	39c	98$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.78	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Spain	50c	97.5$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.75	249	35.3%88 W · 161 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Iraq	36c	97.17$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.19	271	54.6%148 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Spain	65c	90$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	481	47.8%230 W · 251 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe46c…8526backed Spain	65c	89.23$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Spain	50c	83.98$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.99	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe89…e3c0backed Iraq	37c	81.08$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.08	82	45.1%37 W · 45 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Spain	62c	80.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	106	67.9%72 W · 34 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	69cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Spain	57c	78.77$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.9	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b11…6f75backed Spain	64c	78.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	57	77.2%44 W · 13 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	71cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0338backed Iraq	63c	78$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.77	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	62cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Spain	37c	78$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.77	379	50.1%190 W · 189 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Iraq	39c	77.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.5	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Spain	50c	75$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	504	50.2%253 W · 251 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Spain	62c	72.59$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.01	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.25per pick	65cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Iraq	39c	70.09$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.79	235	52.8%124 W · 111 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Iraq	50c	70$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	296	39.9%118 W · 178 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Iraq	50c	70$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	236	58.1%137 W · 99 L	+20.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spain	56c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Spain	63c	57.46$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.08	815	54.8%447 W · 368 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed Spain	53c	56.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.08	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Spain	57c	53.27$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.36	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Iraq	36c	52.5$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x924d…d117backed Spain	57c	52.37$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.85	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Spain	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	300	40.3%121 W · 179 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Spain	65c	49.48$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.04	315	50.8%160 W · 155 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spain (-2.5)this page
Spain vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Under won
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Under won
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Iraq won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event