TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,742

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,879 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Under60c10,000$5,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,994.6217034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf756…7d3abacked Over25c7,221$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,415.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over41c4,699$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,780.691,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over32c4,500$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,069.9645421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a9…7b35backed Under75c3,645$2,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,733.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b30…46f2backed Under75c3,575$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c3,292$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.274,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c2,965$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.363,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under62c2,517$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.82,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe6f…8887backed Over60c2,180$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.071656.3%9 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over30c1,682$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.513544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under54c1,607$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.771968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over43c1,167$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.8145428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under57c1,061$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebfd…cba6backed Over25c952.99$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.964845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under44c903$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.832,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Over29c900$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9826146%120 W · 141 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under40c900$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3604,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under75c600$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45022041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over68c495.33$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.415763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under70c481.9$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.334,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under62c424$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.8811561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under74c410.5$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.021,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16234330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c256.88$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.712,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16019448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over48c245.43$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6438439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under73c210$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.241,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over61c200.13$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.133568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over27c200.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0923732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over41c188.4$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.410734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1575…3d32backed Over57c173.14$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.221546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over26c167$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5820150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6755153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over63c152.14$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6637242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Under68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022466.1%148 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under73c133.38$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7624448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed Under69c130.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9022752.4%119 W · 108 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfc…ab38backed Over58c123.21$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.759644.8%43 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over49c111.7$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.431,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Over60c111$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.43839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over26c94.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4731550.8%160 W · 155 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Over43c90$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.32725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under50c79.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4090840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8993542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over45c77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3526047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Under55c77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3515059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over26c75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.53,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over54c72.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2215543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under66c70$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.215655.1%86 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3213253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under74c67.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.383,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8925455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4282340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56bc…9103backed Over36c59.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.561643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over25c58.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.125727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde93…aefebacked Under66c53.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+162.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7554859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under73c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.52,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…6516backed Over57c48.81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.994348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over56c47.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.977545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44e6…24f3backed Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6415845.6%72 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked Under66c32.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.764944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under72c32.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.382,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa372…65bbbacked Under62c32.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.913557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.424257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Over45c28.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.843636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1d5dbacked Over61c28.41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.086959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under76c26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7620053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc939…19d9backed Under64c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under66c24.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3432055.9%179 W · 141 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Under56c23.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311450.9%58 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b41…cebabacked Under74c22.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.462665.4%17 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under74c20.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4216758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698c…ddc8backed Under72c20.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151850%9 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc57…24aebacked Under56c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.646142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb207…839bbacked Under60c18.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.217565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under73c17.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3311860.2%71 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under72c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Under71c14.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.459174.7%68 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.