Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bd5a85598791c0a4e7a7904fab139b52ec94a25120d0102612fcc18d0ac10ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 22c | 3,732$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.53 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 2,185$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.26 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 24c | 1,371$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 75c | 794.97$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.97 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 26c | 755.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Over | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 433.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 23c | 429.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 77c | 425.15$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 74c | 336.96$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 303.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 77c | 300$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 22c | 299.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 22c | 240$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 223$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 23c | 178.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 24c | 169$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 14c | 165.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 77c | 147.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 24c | 107.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 77c | 93.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 19c | 93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 77c | 75.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 23c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 23c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 23c | 65.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 77c | 60.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 23c | 59.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 77c | 23.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…ddc8backed Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 80c | 16.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 3.5this page
- Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Republic of Ireland won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Republic of Ireland won
- Spread: Republic of Ireland (-1.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.