Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Canada (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b2fe5dd0ea931b2530a583e9c7dd1c7b02597ddd989e9dea435874d2961f73f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Republic of Irelandof Canada, Republic of Ireland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Canada | 38c | 1,929$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.67 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Republic of Ireland | 70c | 1,075$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.68 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Republic of Ireland | 50c | 760$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Republic of Ireland | 69c | 309.35$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Canada | 28c | 299.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Canada | 51c | 248.53$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Republic of Ireland | 54c | 245.84$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Republic of Ireland | 72c | 145.17$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Canada | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Canada | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Republic of Ireland | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Canada | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Republic of Ireland | 73c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Republic of Ireland | 66c | 93.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Canada | 31c | 73.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…141dbacked Canada | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Republic of Ireland | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked Canada | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Canada | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Republic of Ireland | 69c | 49.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Republic of Ireland | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Republic of Ireland | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…6bb2backed Republic of Ireland | 71c | 41.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…f77dbacked Republic of Ireland | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Canada | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Republic of Ireland | 70c | 36.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Canada | 33c | 33.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Canada | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Republic of Ireland | 67c | 30.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Republic of Ireland | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…b57abacked Republic of Ireland | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Republic of Ireland | 70c | 24.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Republic of Ireland | 66c | 20.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Republic of Ireland | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)this page
- Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Republic of Ireland won
- Spread: Republic of Ireland (-1.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.