TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,827 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over44c11,564$5,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,088.0559230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c2,564$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.093,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under48c2,073$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.292,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under53c1,897$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.5820262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c1,667$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.1374034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under56c1,600$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70436250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over57c1,577$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.854,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under56c910$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.426454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over41c814.74$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33433843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under42c714.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.3624626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30838351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under46c648$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9212146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26435251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under63c582.8$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.572,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over44c560$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24821747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under53c533.75$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.322,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c518.53$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.151,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Over37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1857828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7516153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over7c437$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.593,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under60c422.2$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8848937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17252455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17639050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17638451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under58c345.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.065232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under56c332.8$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.431,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over44c330.8$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5522450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under63c326.06$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6461750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over39c311.38$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6210330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13235352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13235251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over41c295.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0187651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Over60c294.95$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.227647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under55c294.5$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.254,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under55c282.2$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.213,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under56c260$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.439951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under56c240$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.640848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over42c237.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7921630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c223.36$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.984,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over44c222.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9819746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under56c200.01$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7033120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8611135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8831553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over52c193.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010948.6%53 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Under66c181.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4214556.6%82 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over36c180.36$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2244435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over35c170$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.510157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under56c170$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.876551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Over45c161.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.893423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-44.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over43c161.3$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.361,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under56c160$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.435451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over42c157.14$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under56c156$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6437452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under56c156$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6434851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under58c148.93$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.512,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over42c145$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.650450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over21c143.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16e5…f7a7backed Over44c143.18$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over38c142.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410050%50 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under56c140$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.637051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under55c134.91$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7133149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ed3…95d7backed Under56c131.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c118.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Over47c107.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c106.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.321,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked Over39c104.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6211044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over64c101.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4430040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.53151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4433653.3%179 W · 157 L+0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4437753.8%203 W · 174 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4434351.9%178 W · 165 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under57c99.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8318764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c99.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.231,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over44c87.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.687545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Under59c84.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7424840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.217557.1%100 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2956…85debacked Over43c79.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under66c74.24$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.241,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over51c66.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3432740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309939.4%39 W · 60 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over45c62.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0924448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x177a…af73backed Over45c62.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.77425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c55.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.563,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked Over45c55.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515060%90 W · 60 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24a1…32f2backed Over35c50.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.761346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over45c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.251,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Over61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.57544%33 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.