Fifa International · resolved market
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e4be4dbbd45072d246877e1dfb602c814c5d5e68bf786d4e587b4745ed13a42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 75c | 2,459$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.87 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 26c | 1,934$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 13c | 1,813$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.72 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 15c | 1,563$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 1,556$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.21 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 76c | 1,319$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.35 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 23c | 1,073$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.73 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 1,013$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.96 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Under | 25c | 815.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 75c | 593.81$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.43 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 24c | 577.4$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.58 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 75c | 413.41$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…740cbacked Under | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…410ebacked Over | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +135%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 17c | 318.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 75c | 309.28$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 76c | 267.34$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 25c | 250$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 24c | 239.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 75c | 229$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 69c | 213.04$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 23c | 162.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 162.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Under | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…fa8fbacked Over | 78c | 154.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 34c | 135.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 24c | 121.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb30…a49bbacked Over | 78c | 117.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 23c | 91.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 75c | 66.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 22c | 48.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 22c | 45.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Over | 76c | 45.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…f863backed Over | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74e…6215backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…3456backed Over | 76c | 39.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 78c | 37.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Over | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 73c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…ddc8backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…4ebdbacked Over | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…0f74backed Over | 78c | 16.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…3ee1backed Over | 71c | 14.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 1.5this page
- Singapore vs. China PR: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 0.5Over won
- Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 2.5Over won
- Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5Under won
- Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 4.5Under won
- Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: China PR (-1.5)Singapore won
- Spread: China PR (-2.5)Singapore won
- Spread: Singapore (-1.5)China PR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.