Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: China PR (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cdd42be0d757cb61c569b832bfc02bb9785a94cfb0ba76fa7c8558164e55b9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Singaporeof China PR, Singapore
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48d9…227fbacked China PR | 33c | 2,094$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.59 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Singapore | 66c | 1,645$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.09 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed China PR | 41c | 1,232$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.59 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed China PR | 26c | 527.52$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.07 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b61…9e16backed China PR | 33c | 522.44$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Singapore | 67c | 505.58$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.2 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Singapore | 65c | 485.88$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Singapore | 65c | 415.48$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Singapore | 65c | 411.81$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.76 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Singapore | 66c | 300.75$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed China PR | 33c | 299.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22bc…b0b2backed China PR | 35c | 288.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…464dbacked Singapore | 70c | 285.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Singapore | 54c | 274.55$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Singapore | 70c | 249.31$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.69 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed China PR | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Singapore | 54c | 227.11$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.47 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Singapore | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked China PR | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed China PR | 35c | 169.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Singapore | 78c | 167.32$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Singapore | 64c | 165.48$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed China PR | 27c | 157.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed China PR | 12c | 156.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Singapore | 50c | 144.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed China PR | 35c | 139.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Singapore | 54c | 136$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Singapore | 64c | 116.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Singapore | 65c | 107$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed China PR | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked China PR | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Singapore | 67c | 96.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed China PR | 57c | 93.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…ca25backed China PR | 51c | 90.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked China PR | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Singapore | 67c | 83.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed China PR | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked China PR | 52c | 57.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed China PR | 36c | 54.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 41.3%86 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Singapore | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 268 | 35.4%95 W · 173 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Singapore | 65c | 52.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Singapore | 67c | 51.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed China PR | 35c | 49.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Singapore | 49c | 40.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed China PR | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed China PR | 37c | 36.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Singapore | 66c | 35.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed China PR | 35c | 31.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Singapore | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…0d57backed Singapore | 67c | 22.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…3cccbacked Singapore | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 73 | 72.6%53 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Singapore | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…d32cbacked Singapore | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Singapore | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -19.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Singapore | 64c | 18.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked Singapore | 68c | 16.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: China PR (-1.5)this page
- Singapore vs. China PR: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 0.5Over won
- Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 1.5Over won
- Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 2.5Over won
- Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5Under won
- Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 4.5Under won
- Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: China PR (-2.5)Singapore won
- Spread: Singapore (-1.5)China PR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.