TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Seattle Storm
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,575 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb915…8da5backed Washington Mystics47c47,721$22,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,231.296848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Seattle Storm53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,6002763%17 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Seattle Storm53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,599.62157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Seattle Storm52c9,530$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics47c8,359$3,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,390.411,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Seattle Storm52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1203647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Seattle Storm53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.793351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Washington Mystics48c4,422$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.862142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Washington Mystics47c3,656$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.4722748.5%110 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Washington Mystics49c3,265$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Washington Mystics50c3,002$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.14951%25 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Seattle Storm52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Seattle Storm52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3004963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Washington Mystics47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.664669.6%32 W · 14 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+44.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm53c1,855$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.0489349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Mystics49c1,800$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9189651%49 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Seattle Storm51c1,799$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Seattle Storm51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.994623.9%11 W · 35 L-7.7wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-48.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Washington Mystics47c1,403$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.291747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Seattle Storm54c1,300$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6983644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Mystics48c1,085$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.3846247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Seattle Storm52c963.21$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Washington Mystics46c944.6$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.32958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Washington Mystics49c918.37$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.379047.8%43 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8476…dc8dbacked Washington Mystics49c884.98$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.341136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Storm52c866$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.322958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Washington Mystics72c820.9$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.855257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Seattle Storm54c780.64$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4245141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Washington Mystics49c763.83$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.5527449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Washington Mystics51c726.1$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.882650%13 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Washington Mystics47c618$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.541560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Washington Mystics47c617.82$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.442259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Seattle Storm50c500$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2494551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Washington Mystics48c499.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26010249%50 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Washington Mystics49c469.39$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.399554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Washington Mystics49c462.78$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.023881.6%31 W · 7 L+11.1wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+56.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Washington Mystics47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2121361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Seattle Storm53c399.01$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.113756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Seattle Storm52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7210…4bb5backed Seattle Storm53c310$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.91361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm19c303.29$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.841,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Seattle Storm52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Seattle Storm51c299.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.991040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Washington Mystics47c273.38$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8934448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Seattle Storm51c218.35$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Washington Mystics48c213.46$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1112259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Washington Mystics51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986050%30 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Washington Mystics48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1044847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Seattle Storm52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Seattle Storm52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Seattle Storm54c185.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Washington Mystics48c167.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4110151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Washington Mystics64c155.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6511353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Seattle Storm52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Washington Mystics51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Seattle Storm12c110$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x052f…5ef8backed Seattle Storm42c107.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Washington Mystics47c106$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.186145.9%28 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Washington Mystics49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Seattle Storm50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503050%15 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Seattle Storm53c97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.411450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed Seattle Storm52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Washington Mystics49c83.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.83475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Seattle Storm52c78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c29…e8ffbacked Washington Mystics50c72.55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Washington Mystics49c69.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.249044.4%40 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Washington Mystics49c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.831741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Washington Mystics47c65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.459351.6%48 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Washington Mystics49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.223745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Seattle Storm52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309355.9%52 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Seattle Storm52c57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.642955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Washington Mystics49c55.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.132948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…1d65backed Washington Mystics49c51.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.33933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x424c…82b5backed Seattle Storm52c46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.921266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Seattle Storm52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…c67cbacked Seattle Storm52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+36.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Washington Mystics72c35.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.833345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Washington Mystics72c35.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.826758.2%39 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Washington Mystics72c35.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.824949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Washington Mystics72c35.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.828154.3%44 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b75…409ebacked Seattle Storm52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ccf…15a2backed Seattle Storm53c33.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf1c…ec86backed Seattle Storm53c33.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Washington Mystics48c31.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.281030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Seattle Storm52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.66341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Washington Mystics49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Seattle Storm52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Seattle Storm52c24.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.941656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf534…b7d4backed Seattle Storm53c24.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Washington Mystics47c22.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.081266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1440…1a39backed Washington Mystics49c21.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8031…c84cbacked Washington Mystics48c21.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698c…ddc8backed Washington Mystics58c20.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.645100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Seattle Storm52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Seattle Storm53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.071662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.