WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5582c1972ec46ec914fa85a51802155954844aca40faf88d2b7d58e6094ae97e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 27c | 14,587$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,945.47 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 41c | 7,487$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,417.53 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 71c | 4,000$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.95 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 31c | 3,691$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.23 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Over | 16c | 2,134$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 63c | 1,592$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 4c | 1,251$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 1,052$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.94 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 40c | 749.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Over | 52c | 535.02$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 19c | 488.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 41c | 454.38$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.09 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 449.07$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.95 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 47c | 448.9$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.51 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 405.76$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 77c | 404.5$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 34c | 339.04$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 62c | 321.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 31c | 200.32$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522d…3913backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 34c | 179.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Under | 79c | 126.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 37c | 109.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked Over | 21c | 105.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 33c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 42c | 102.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 26c | 102.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Under | 67c | 89.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 26c | 83.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 26c | 76.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Under | 41c | 61.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 24c | 57.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 42c | 51.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 49.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 46c | 46.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Over | 60c | 41.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 45c | 36.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 34c | 36.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…e8ffbacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 33c | 34.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 35c | 29.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8c5dbacked Over | 61c | 25.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…76b1backed Over | 65c | 19.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Over | 67c | 17.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 75c | 14.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle StormWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 159.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 160.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.