WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa21e5e80450c770bc61d6fe87072bc1dfd337520da4fa84de87e4429e1e5ba6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 29,984$15,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,486.49 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 8,854$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.84 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 4,970$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 2,007$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.58 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 987.41$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.94 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 876.77$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.38 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 639$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.11 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 352.45$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 340.12$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.86 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 288$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 280$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 237.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 183.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Washington Mystics | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 138.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 128.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 124.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 112$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 103.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…7d46backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 95.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 81.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…4f9dbacked Seattle Storm | 14c | 73.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…766abacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 62.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23f…338ebacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 59.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…ec86backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 56.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 54.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 51.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 50.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd91…b49abacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd6…1733backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 47.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 43.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84be…d79dbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 38.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 31.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 21.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 19.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle StormWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 159.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 160.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.