WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c9a114827fc0b826994b3211d109b2b78a8e559a5151d0116b334dfb465782b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 56c | 9,196$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.99 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 15c | 8,724$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.64 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 5,316$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.65 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 43c | 3,470$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.05 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under | 50c | 1,184$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.79 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,149$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.91 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 7c | 999.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Under | 52c | 582.95$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.71 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Under | 53c | 370$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 279.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Under | 53c | 160.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 43c | 151.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Under | 70c | 133.32$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Under | 38c | 132.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0468…4bd2backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…76b1backed Over | 56c | 95.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 50c | 78.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 43c | 51.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 66c | 38.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 38.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8c5dbacked Over | 50c | 38.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 51c | 32.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 50c | 30.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Over | 57c | 21.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 70c | 19.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 160.5this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle StormWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 159.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.