Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92fce28d79155d4ea6d8664c469aa47cfae29cdcd48d8a9811970938808ebd37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 25c | 5,138$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.8 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…6cf3backed Over | 25c | 4,336$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.87 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 15c | 2,681$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.84 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 23c | 1,557$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 18c | 1,388$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 74c | 1,298$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.47 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 76c | 1,169$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.1 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 79c | 1,046$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.93 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 75c | 797.88$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.47 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 25c | 636.42$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Over | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…ced8backed Over | 24c | 451.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…4ce9backed Over | 22c | 443.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 76c | 374.5$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 77c | 333$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 76c | 332.09$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 78c | 314$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Under | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 262$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 74c | 260$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 13%13 W · 87 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Over | 24c | 215$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 24c | 196.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 21c | 165.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Over | 25c | 160.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 75c | 155.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 76c | 149.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 20c | 145.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 76c | 124.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 77c | 100.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e0…c1bbbacked Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 336 | 53.3%179 W · 157 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 24c | 93.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 75c | 87.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Over | 24c | 85.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…5ab3backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0846…b540backed Over | 24c | 71.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 76c | 70.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over | 25c | 56.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 76c | 47.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 75c | 45.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Under | 77c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Under | 77c | 38.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 91 | 74.7%68 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…82e5backed Under | 78c | 32.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 76c | 21.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…ddc8backed Under | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5this page
- France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5Under won
- France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: France (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.