Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x898a4f6d7cd13801f6d3c3c537108d9e9ac522f58f59f17b53a627eb972b78f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 10c | 6,064$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.32 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 6c | 2,596$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.84 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 10c | 2,262$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…68e5backed Over | 11c | 1,220$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.22 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 10c | 888.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 11c | 518.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 11c | 436.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Over | 11c | 436.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Over | 10c | 423.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…4c57backed Over | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Over | 10c | 363.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 9c | 339.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 10c | 299.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94dcbacked Over | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 11c | 263.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 11c | 262.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 10c | 225.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 11c | 222.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Over | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 13%13 W · 87 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 8c | 183.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Over | 11c | 135.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Over | 11c | 115.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 10c | 111.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3f2cbacked Over | 11c | 101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over | 11c | 95.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5e…3b08backed Over | 45c | 26.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5this page
- France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5Under won
- France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: France (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.