MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf08fdfa7f473dbe65d7ece6e2439f9035d731c3df4c5547ed5242832a580c75b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago White Sox | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 3,980$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.6 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 3,494$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 2,511$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.56 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 2,001$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.91 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 1,659$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.35 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 727.8$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.79 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 572$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.86 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 463.67$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.38 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 299$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.34 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 286.07$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.25 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Chicago White Sox | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Chicago White Sox | 60c | 202.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.64 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 165.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Chicago White Sox | 34c | 127$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 117.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 110.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 108$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 81.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 79.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 66.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 57.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 54.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Chicago White Sox | 34c | 50.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Minnesota Twins | 66c | 40.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 39.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 33.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8c5dbacked Chicago White Sox | 59c | 30.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…ddc8backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…76b1backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 21.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 19.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 17.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 12.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.