MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c4320560fb623622eea7fdc025e41193bc04d7b9136bc2f7032086babd51c02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 55c | 59,431$32,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,892.93 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,499.99 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 47c | 34,242$16,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,066.95 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 45c | 20,697$9,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,313.65 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 46c | 10,640$4,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 54c | 9,693$5,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.78 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 47c | 9,488$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,498.26 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 9,017$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 7,299$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.31 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 46c | 6,677$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.55 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 45c | 6,480$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.78 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over | 56c | 5,682$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.08 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 46c | 5,323$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.36 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 53c | 3,316$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 45c | 2,883$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.38 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 2,635$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.93 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 2,629$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.87 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 47c | 2,614$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.44 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 45c | 2,531$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 46c | 2,500$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 2,210$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 2,101$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Over | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 53c | 1,454$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.56 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 45c | 1,290$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.29 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 48c | 1,210$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.8 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 51c | 1,206$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.07 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 45c | 1,191$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.99 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…286dbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe66…dc96backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 781.9$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.13 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 652.47$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.66 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 66c | 600.11$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.05 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 44c | 528.82$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.68 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 452.02$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.53 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 53c | 435.97$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.91 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 54c | 335.02$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.69 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Under | 47c | 319.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 45c | 308.27$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 47c | 280$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…b388backed Under | 45c | 277.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 68c | 266.03$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 45c | 252.18$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 45c | 243.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…1a39backed Under | 48c | 226.38$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 54c | 200.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 54c | 196.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 64c | 180$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 46c | 159.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 46c | 154.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 152.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 145.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 54c | 130.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Under | 45c | 128.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 70c | 111.64$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 45c | 110.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 104.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 28c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 47c | 97.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 54c | 77.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 45c | 73.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 46c | 71.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3834…d360backed Over | 56c | 70.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 45c | 68.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 32c | 66.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Under | 40c | 61.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 35c | 60.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Under | 45c | 56.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Under | 45c | 55.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…2dadbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 47c | 47.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 45c | 47.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 45c | 41.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 48c | 40.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 54c | 36.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…438abacked Under | 47c | 31.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d3…5ae4backed Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b7d4backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 64c | 26.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…15a2backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…8078backed Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ed…09debacked Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 12.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.