TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Georgia (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Georgiaof Georgia, Bahrain
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,509
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,509 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a4c…1f30backed Georgia55c13,890$7,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,197.683754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bahrain48c10,562$5,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,050.864,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Georgia58c5,166$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.742,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Bahrain43c3,053$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.5917748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Bahrain23c2,608$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.849247.8%44 W · 48 L+18.5wins+0.20per pick28cpaid+50.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Georgia41c2,514$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.2832029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Georgia49c1,789$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.761,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Bahrain49c1,771$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.732,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Bahrain45c1,758$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.8648152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b7…3267backed Bahrain52c1,469$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.1527058.1%157 W · 113 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Bahrain45c1,172$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.9884751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Georgia47c1,115$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.4185550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Bahrain44c1,106$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.7448937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Georgia58c859.04$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.0489443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Georgia46c849.03$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.172,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Georgia58c780.7$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.713953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Bahrain43c706.98$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30413746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Georgia44c683$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.8860752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Bahrain43c644.68$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.83,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Bahrain49c627$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.235457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Bahrain44c530.09$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23310349.5%51 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Bahrain53c525$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.7893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Georgia54c499.98$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.732748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Georgia56c494$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3615059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Georgia49c485.88$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1326459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Bahrain54c400.22$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.291,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Georgia38c348.61$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.7511520%23 W · 92 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Georgia57c300.51$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4241857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Bahrain42c280.24$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.723949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Bahrain50c262.57$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1336045.3%163 W · 197 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Georgia58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.627949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Georgia36c257.8$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3287651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Georgia55c227.73$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.735345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Bahrain45c224.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.043,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Georgia45c221.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.152835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Bahrain45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Bahrain44c157$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0833443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Georgia55c140.35$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0676551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Georgia42c140$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7651250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Georgia58c137.47$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7443246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Georgia37c130.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.219334.4%32 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Bahrain25c128.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.588817%15 W · 73 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Georgia36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.117245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Georgia56c107.87$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2374034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Georgia59c101.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8355153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Georgia58c101.42$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.621,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Bahrain44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4446525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Georgia78c99.7$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2214556.6%82 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Georgia52c98.58$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3221046.7%98 W · 112 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Georgia44c88.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.027350.7%37 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Georgia55c85.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6522450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Bahrain43c82.59$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5324448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Bahrain54c82.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4490840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Georgia59c80.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0624840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d77…eb0bbacked Bahrain69c79.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Georgia55c79.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9950450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Georgia48c79.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.259456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Georgia56c76.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.473351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Bahrain50c71.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.032,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Georgia56c69.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6415543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c10…5d44backed Georgia58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.973943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Georgia58c66.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8224935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Bahrain45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017945.3%81 W · 98 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Bahrain55c64.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4323658.1%137 W · 99 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Georgia60c63.21$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.358,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked Bahrain45c60.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.264944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x747f…ad68backed Georgia58c59.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9717154.4%93 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked Georgia60c58.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.332853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Bahrain40c54.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8423552.8%124 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…6f6abacked Georgia46c54.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.064928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Georgia38c52.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.526251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Georgia45c52.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5622951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Georgia59c51.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2331147.9%149 W · 162 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bahrain44c50.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.271,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Bahrain32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.22,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Bahrain45c48.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9863151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Bahrain57c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7211860.2%71 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed Georgia46c41.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.15563.6%35 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked Bahrain62c39$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.188158%47 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Georgia39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4682340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Bahrain35c38.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4744435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8af…a0a5backed Georgia51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.155054%27 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Bahrain43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.952,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Bahrain51c33.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9747546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Bahrain46c32.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.912,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f1…7da3backed Georgia78c30.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6310100%10 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+100.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Bahrain65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.513838.4%53 W · 85 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Georgia46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.224257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Bahrain44c28.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5842952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc919…d1ddbacked Bahrain44c28.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.367538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Bahrain47c26.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.571,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bahrain54c26.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.64,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Georgia75c26.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.521,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa541…7aefbacked Georgia58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.861266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x698c…ddc8backed Georgia58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.861850%9 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Bahrain48c23.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.522,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ce…41acbacked Bahrain47c21.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.223265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Bahrain47c21.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010626.4%28 W · 78 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid+14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Georgia58c20.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8231550.8%160 W · 155 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…bf43backed Bahrain66c20.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.242588%22 W · 3 L+5.6wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+38%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.