TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,276 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9812862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1437…3553backed Under77c2,483$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.95100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over41c1,905$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.081,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Under41c1,175$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.83759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Over2c1,012$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.249247.8%44 W · 48 L+18.5wins+0.20per pick28cpaid+50.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over23c999.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c909.85$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.884,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over56c832.89$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.421,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over61c826.73$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.3159230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over61c819.84$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under43c799.99$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45614433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over57c765.43$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.3622450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4912…c24ebacked Under77c726.23$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.711947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under39c710.58$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.411,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Under73c702.11$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.345044%22 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over27c686.26$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70ee…b403backed Over30c673.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.411450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed3…fc81backed Over60c640$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3841361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Under66c620.93$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9310349.5%51 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over64c617.81$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.358955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over47c601.54$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5411147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under62c598.64$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.522,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over29c577.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7611520%23 W · 92 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under49c570$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.9517255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over57c461.61$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2613253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under67c422$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2610744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over56c399.98$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.991,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f38…b090backed Under57c349.81$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.422161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over32c345.6$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7920560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8aa1…2242backed Under65c308.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.248046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over19c306$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1487651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Under75c280.8$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.87659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over10c263.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.242,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over28c260.55$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2433843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over39c257.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over39c256.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over23c252.91$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.292,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008334.9%29 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Over31c242.66$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3637650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c227.46$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.433,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012441.9%52 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c204.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.81,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Over7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over35c199.93$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.562,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c198.13$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.791,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under69c189.51$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6212559.2%74 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under37c189.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.811,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over25c189.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Over38c179.95$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.786144.3%27 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6be…0968backed Over61c164.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Over34c148.93$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.327219.4%14 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over46c144.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2550450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Over29c127.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0846012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under38c119.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6841857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ab…3e5cbacked Under70c114.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.291353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Under56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.433120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2625727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Over58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606050%30 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under39c100.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.061,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x943b…e35ebacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404825%12 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over62c95.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3438439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d2…d2dcbacked Over51c95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.45650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under77c91.35$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3540355.3%223 W · 180 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under48c90.62$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2418764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under61c87.88$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6369744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98cb…26bcbacked Over58c85.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over28c83.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6159453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over59c74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.661,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over25c72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1815543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cfc…ab38backed Over52c68.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.859644.8%43 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over49c68.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1114556.6%82 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0d…9d1abacked Under67c66.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.972552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over32c66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.122,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under68c66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1244435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over31c62.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.427350.7%37 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Over23c61.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.823060%18 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over30c59.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c58.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.632,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe340…3adcbacked Over62c56.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355625%14 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Over36c56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.163636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over34c53.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1882340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under51c51.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1817748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over45c49.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.354859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over39c48.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1916547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde93…aefebacked Under62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+162.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over61c45.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813557.8%78 W · 57 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over40c45.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.35332.1%17 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over56c45.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.424,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under63c42.46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over59c40.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7141451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over59c40.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7135549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a98…dc9cbacked Over63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255862.1%36 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2333…88f8backed Over39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under63c35.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1748152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012661.9%78 W · 48 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over64c31.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031147.9%149 W · 162 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over34c30.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.373,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.