Fifa International · resolved market
Georgia vs. Bahrain: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc28b9ee3b7786595692c41e8df559942b827489cd35c7907303bd282d8f3b691
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 7,850$5,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.74 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 39c | 3,687$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.87 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 43c | 2,268$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.14 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,251$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.95 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 45c | 1,818$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.55 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 1,784$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.59 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.79 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,149$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.76 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 32c | 904.91$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.58 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 54c | 865$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.9 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 57c | 844.79$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.29 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 34c | 782.81$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.66 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed No | 79c | 493.67$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.67 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 65c | 344.61$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.61 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 56c | 320.22$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 312$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 16c | 306.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.85 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 40c | 292.9$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.16 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 42c | 235$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 65c | 233.44$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 44c | 226.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 43c | 198.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed No | 57c | 198.25$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 24c | 188.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 58c | 180.58$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 22c | 180$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 163.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed No | 75c | 132.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 43c | 115.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed Yes | 44c | 107$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…b863backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 56c | 96.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…0fc8backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes | 23c | 87.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 36c | 82.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 75c | 80.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 66c | 73.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 64.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 59.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 70c | 48.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 43c | 48.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 60c | 44.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Yes | 44c | 43.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…766dbacked Yes | 36c | 38.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 60c | 36.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 66c | 32.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 56c | 29.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 71c | 20.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed No | 79c | 19.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia vs. Bahrain: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 0.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 1.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 2.5Under won
- Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 3.5Under won
- Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 4.5Under won
- Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bahrain (-1.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Georgia (-1.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Georgia (-2.5)Bahrain won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.