Fifa International · resolved market
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc3fe8980a3683edede6791f7432e69537636814837db1801802e2a60537d0cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4064…f741backed Under | 63c | 8,812$5,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 41c | 8,470$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 6,703$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.91 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 28c | 5,357$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.91 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 16c | 3,773$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.75 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 30c | 3,000$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.97 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 59c | 1,926$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.51 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 38c | 1,887$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.87 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 27c | 1,476$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.57 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 39c | 972.48$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.27 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 24c | 781.63$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.26 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 39c | 774.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 27c | 649.46$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 65c | 600$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 36c | 561.78$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.24 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 530.07$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.49 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 72c | 511.63$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.41 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 12c | 460.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 58c | 431$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 58c | 431$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 71c | 412.25$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 36c | 400$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.67 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 25c | 368.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 34c | 363.2$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.26 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 363$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 72c | 345.09$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 60c | 328$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…77febacked Over | 25c | 313.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…1544backed Under | 70c | 290.28$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 17c | 246.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 70c | 228.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 279 | 51.6%144 W · 135 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 17c | 221$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Over | 17c | 209.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 60c | 195$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 36c | 175.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 62c | 134.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Over | 39c | 129.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Over | 38c | 127.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 39c | 126.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 121.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Over | 41c | 111.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 40c | 111.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 61c | 109.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Over | 36c | 105$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Over | 36c | 102$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…a496backed Under | 73c | 101.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 19c | 93.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 35c | 77.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 55c | 72.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 56.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 36c | 33.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 63c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 36c | 28.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 74c | 23.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Under | 63c | 17.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 61c | 16.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 61c | 16.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 3.5this page
- Georgia vs. Bahrain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 0.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 1.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 2.5Under won
- Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 4.5Under won
- Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bahrain (-1.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Georgia (-1.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Georgia (-2.5)Bahrain won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.