TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saudi Arabiaof Uruguay, Saudi Arabia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,955,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,021,420

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,955,632 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 835 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Uruguay38c2,072,796$785,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785,338.8877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4c…dba2backed Saudi Arabia61c1,430,472$869,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560,472.95966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99ae…386fbacked Saudi Arabia62c1,403,224$869,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533,225.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+75.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe22a…2703backed Uruguay41c1,148,217$472,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472,251.291338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96cf…1acbbacked Saudi Arabia63c1,053,072$659,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393,072.774100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+163.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34cb…e9fdbacked Saudi Arabia61c290,277$177,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,207.86955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Uruguay38c275,000$104,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,499.971250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Saudi Arabia61c227,205$138,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,773.094,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Uruguay39c153,696$59,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,941.462218.2%4 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-60.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Uruguay37c150,000$55,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,50016331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cb4…1057backed Uruguay42c100,000$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,0002147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Uruguay40c80,000$32,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,00042345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Saudi Arabia60c71,031$42,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,612.563237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Uruguay38c63,600$23,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,85218738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Uruguay27c62,938$17,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,128.942,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Saudi Arabia62c61,295$38,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,292.234148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Saudi Arabia59c59,916$35,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,565.652,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Saudi Arabia59c56,438$33,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,039.983,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Saudi Arabia58c50,122$29,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,035.469345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eaf…a3a1backed Uruguay41c50,000$20,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,499.853930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Saudi Arabia59c47,551$28,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,496.0411642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Uruguay42c46,500$19,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,5309747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Uruguay40c41,208$16,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,479.182,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Uruguay37c40,000$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,8003638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Uruguay38c40,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Saudi Arabia59c40,000$23,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,399.9217949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Uruguay41c35,451$14,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,534.732040%8 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Uruguay37c32,500$12,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,15074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Saudi Arabia62c32,315$19,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,431.241,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Uruguay39c28,200$10,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,939.662850%14 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Uruguay37c22,222$8,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,333.2521836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Saudi Arabia58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4003943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Saudi Arabia58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4003154.8%17 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Uruguay41c17,000$6,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9703050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Uruguay37c16,250$6,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,012.468047.5%38 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Uruguay41c14,816$6,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,039.5321849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Uruguay37c14,000$5,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,180.017949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Uruguay38c12,996$4,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,938.638440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Saudi Arabia58c12,000$6,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.9929646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Uruguay40c11,250$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Uruguay38c11,087$4,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,213.1220333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5848…a698backed Saudi Arabia60c11,068$6,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,427.31866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Uruguay40c10,921$4,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,419.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Saudi Arabia59c10,287$6,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,217.7348152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Saudi Arabia59c10,180$6,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,173.8684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Uruguay37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70013259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Uruguay38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fee…7e03backed Uruguay38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+48.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Uruguay33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.975349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Uruguay4c9,014$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Uruguay38c8,672$3,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,331.071,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Uruguay7c8,647$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.24,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab80…ba7ebacked Uruguay9c8,421$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7771752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Saudi Arabia59c8,121$4,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,322.9822846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Uruguay36c8,096$2,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,884.5110146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Uruguay39c8,027$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104.912,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Uruguay37c7,886$2,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,932.083026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-47.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Uruguay38c7,478$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,817.431,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf160…c3e7backed Saudi Arabia58c6,283$3,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.94100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2300…53f8backed Uruguay39c6,198$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.858746%40 W · 47 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Uruguay40c6,151$2,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.9127345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf716…c4dfbacked Uruguay40c6,125$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.89137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-52.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Uruguay41c6,025$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Saudi Arabia59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,46050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Uruguay40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40011343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Saudi Arabia58c5,792$3,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.281,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Saudi Arabia60c5,720$3,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2881,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Saudi Arabia59c5,634$3,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.611,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Uruguay24c5,555$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.232029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Saudi Arabia59c5,175$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.5615249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d4…2983backed Uruguay38c5,136$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.748640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Saudi Arabia59c5,062$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.5329232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Saudi Arabia59c5,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04047032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Saudi Arabia63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8504040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Uruguay5c4,953$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.1449441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked Uruguay41c4,787$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.748121%17 W · 64 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa3b…dcdabacked Uruguay41c4,723$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.372441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Uruguay42c4,673$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.686132.8%20 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Saudi Arabia60c4,216$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.527640.8%31 W · 45 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d5b…5c95backed Uruguay34c4,201$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.054035%14 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9de…7310backed Saudi Arabia58c4,170$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Saudi Arabia60c4,167$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.6712554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf21…1846backed Saudi Arabia60c4,167$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.671050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Saudi Arabia60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6006858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Uruguay38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.9922342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Uruguay40c3,989$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.722,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Uruguay38c3,956$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.2829449%144 W · 150 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d3…3078backed Uruguay29c3,728$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.391560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Uruguay39c3,705$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.9513448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcd…e3d7backed Uruguay39c3,599$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.5910939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Saudi Arabia60c3,500$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Saudi Arabia60c3,500$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9efc…cce5backed Saudi Arabia61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.6910458.7%61 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Uruguay15c3,096$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.31,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Uruguay41c3,036$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.9336349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52a6…5f1cbacked Uruguay33c3,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Saudi Arabia60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Uruguay39c3,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.9926445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Uruguay41c3,000$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.3215128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ee…a524backed Saudi Arabia72c2,998$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.321553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.