Fifa International · resolved market
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe6ec2bdc53f0b3afdbaa8a09d2d66a9e7116600bb72ff14ef8a728eed1420fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 5c | 15,098$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.89 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…5831backed Over | 3c | 4,774$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 3c | 2,985$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 11c | 1,235$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.25 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 11c | 944.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Over | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Over | 11c | 906.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Over | 11c | 740.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 12c | 725.42$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…26e8backed Over | 12c | 613.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…cab7backed Over | 3c | 606.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Over | 10c | 599.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 25.7%39 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742d…020dbacked Over | 12c | 472.23$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42b…afe0backed Over | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 11c | 410$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed Over | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 12c | 399.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 11c | 336$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Over | 5c | 294.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 4c | 263.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…a1c8backed Over | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…fb40backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over | 14c | 198.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 274 | 45.3%124 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 11c | 189.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Over | 10c | 140.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…489cbacked Over | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Over | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Over | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 11c | 94.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5this page
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Saudi Arabia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.