Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x652cd89a807eadf80c166234f3f783fbde09eb87d7dc97d02478a7cc399bbb7d

Rebuilt 13 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $70,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $69,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,679 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over	20c	27,367$5,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,447.25	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	15c	8,795$1,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,348.99	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	73c	4,774$3,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,296.14	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3b…11fbbacked Over	8c	3,596$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.69	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	73c	2,011$1,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.94	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	71c	1,543$1,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.55	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	27c	1,527$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.12	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed Over	25c	1,150$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Over	27c	999.99$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	100	26%26 W · 74 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	71c	785.82$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.89	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	28c	683.38$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.4	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over	28c	664.25$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.99	188	27.7%52 W · 136 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over	29c	619.55$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.67	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	72c	595.92$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.13	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Over	29c	500$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	405	15.3%62 W · 343 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over	9c	412.2$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.1	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over	27c	359.98$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.3	368	38.6%142 W · 226 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	23c	347.6$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.95	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	16c	322.5$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.74	477	44.2%211 W · 266 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over	29c	270$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.76	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	72c	244.52$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.61	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Over	25c	211.34$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.95	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Over	19c	210.01$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	28c	206.23$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.74	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over	28c	200$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	265	37.7%100 W · 165 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over	27c	200$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	218	50.5%110 W · 108 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Over	8c	190$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	177	37.9%67 W · 110 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38bc…d62abacked Over	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc92a…169cbacked Over	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9510…0d7abacked Over	30c	166.83$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e90…4a0dbacked Over	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	60	18.3%11 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over	28c	166.64$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.66	197	42.1%83 W · 114 L	-11.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	79c	164.35$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.57	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe90…972fbacked Over	28c	157.14$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over	18c	138.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed Under	74c	134.51$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.27	22	77.3%17 W · 5 L	+3.2wins	+0.15per pick	63cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over	28c	129.96$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.39	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	20c	124.32$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.05	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	180	36.1%65 W · 115 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over	30c	117.82$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	667	45%300 W · 367 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2b…fb88backed Over	26c	96.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.11	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Under	80c	86.16$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.47	147	68.7%101 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	70c	85.55$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.62	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over	28c	82.81$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.87	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf456…3855backed Over	25c	74.85$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	103	28.2%29 W · 74 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4680…fe34backed Over	31c	65.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d7…a2fdbacked Over	24c	64.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.22per pick	37cpaid	-66%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa21a…f389backed Over	28c	53.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	71c	49$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.21	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	70c	44.13$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.24	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…f6dabacked Over	30c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	136	33.1%45 W · 91 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	70c	38.04$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	328	55.8%183 W · 145 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d9…d6c1backed Under	71c	21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.09	345	44.1%152 W · 193 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8375…1017backed Under	72c	20.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.83	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe325…34d0backed Under	77c	19.48$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.48	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	71c	19.3$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.6	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under	73c	15.28$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.17	360	45.3%163 W · 197 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 2.5this page
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 0.5Over won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5Over won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Over won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 0.5Over won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 1.5Under won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Uruguay won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Uruguay won
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Saudi Arabia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event