Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd945a6c3e2231c8afa9ba2ab8d3849377fd57da52e83866782bc87fbaad4663e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $344,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $407,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,571 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x94e4…87e0backed Under	12c	100,637$12,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,076.4	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Under	10c	34,313$3,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,349.46	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	+83.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	8c	17,279$1,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,382.29	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	8c	15,020$1,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,201.57	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Under	8c	8,888$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.03	123	25.2%31 W · 92 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under	15c	5,976$894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$894.47	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Under	16c	3,663$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	8c	3,569$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.55	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under	9c	3,000$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under	10c	2,615$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.12	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	8c	2,265$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.16	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	8c	2,152$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.16	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5254…891bbacked Under	10c	2,064$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.4	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under	18c	1,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under	13c	1,304$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.65	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9978…8782backed Under	15c	1,265$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.7	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+2.9wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+55.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	8c	1,264$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.12	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	8c	1,152$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.16	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d78…c66cbacked Under	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	15%6 W · 34 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x371e…95a3backed Under	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	12c	1,042$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	161	16.1%26 W · 135 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	10c	1,030$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.05	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	14c	1,016$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.07	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	130	46.9%61 W · 69 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under	20c	999.98$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0b6…3a92backed Under	8c	940$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.2	65	36.9%24 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over	77c	855$658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.65	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbedc…2173backed Over	79c	819.13$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.02	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	74cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	9c	746.65$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.01	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	8c	717$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.36	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	9c	707.89$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.93	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	8c	699.99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.44	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under	8c	692$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.24	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	18c	641.88$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.3	387	45%174 W · 213 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Over	79c	630.23$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.23	174	62.1%108 W · 66 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under	9c	600$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	226	39.4%89 W · 137 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	8c	520.08$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.61	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	7c	475.71$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under	8c	450.58$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.05	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	20c	450.01$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.72	908	40.9%371 W · 537 L	-64.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5ca…219bbacked Under	9c	414.33$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.29	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-31%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Under	9c	411.22$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.01	181	18.2%33 W · 148 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under	8c	399.98$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	248	25.8%64 W · 184 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe645…53dabacked Under	9c	329.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.62	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Under	21c	300$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	71	22.5%16 W · 55 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	14cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	14c	288$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.88	575	41.7%240 W · 335 L	-20.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	7c	276.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9425…0b83backed Under	19c	257.85$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Under	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	67	25.4%17 W · 50 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x280e…b409backed Under	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	128	18%23 W · 105 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629b…3a56backed Under	14c	212.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.18	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…847cbacked Under	9c	207.22$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.65	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a83…f2edbacked Under	9c	204.44$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	85	27.1%23 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over	77c	201.38$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.32	295	58.3%172 W · 123 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb970…df07backed Under	9c	200.48$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.04	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-23%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	265	37.7%100 W · 165 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	8c	188.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.17	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	13c	188.46$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+81.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2494…9405backed Under	10c	177.78$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under	21c	171.43$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	327	40.7%133 W · 194 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked Under	9c	167$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.03	94	35.1%33 W · 61 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under	21c	142.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	162	31.5%51 W · 111 L	-13.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	10c	126.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.63	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d25…12c6backed Under	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	77c	91$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.93	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Under	19c	81.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	323	17.6%57 W · 266 L	-43.8wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6332…4576backed Under	13c	79.77$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	150	48%72 W · 78 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Under	20c	70$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	99	57.6%57 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Over	79c	50.27$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadda…9e4fbacked Over	80c	31.18$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.24	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02e2…8813backed Over	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfd4…fe7bbacked Over	79c	18.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.99	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 0.5this page
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5Over won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Over won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 0.5Over won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Uruguay won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Uruguay won
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Saudi Arabia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event