Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a2edd59a1996571aca67670d62fcef7886879aebcd227c7c300d0e3fc6c8cf4

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $103,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $115,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,939 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	19c	55,555$10,618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,617.9	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	19c	6,958$1,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,334.18	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	21c	4,083$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.2	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb157…0120backed Under	56c	3,540$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	150	42.7%64 W · 86 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	15c	3,519$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.76	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	79c	1,257$993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.67	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Over	68c	995.59$677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.59	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	56c	957.55$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.33	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…140fbacked Over	66c	749.97$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.99	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	64c	688$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.84	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa90b…5ca7backed Over	69c	556.52$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.52	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	67c	528.47$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.8	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under	14c	500.1$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.01	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under	14c	457.09$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.22	368	38.6%142 W · 226 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Over	80c	455.14$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.03	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under	8c	397.85$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.89	475	46.1%219 W · 256 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under	50c	394.03$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.71	414	44.9%186 W · 228 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	67c	350$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.18	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d3…cbb9backed Over	77c	328.88$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.64	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over	73c	304.1$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.11	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Under	35c	300$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	195	31.3%61 W · 134 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	14c	299.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.55	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Under	34c	288.38$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.05	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	24c	267.11$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.19	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	49c	262.62$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.05	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over	56c	251$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.87	102	73.5%75 W · 27 L	+15.0wins	+0.15per pick	59cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	265	37.7%100 W · 165 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e0…c1d5backed Over	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-55%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over	70c	181.43$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.43	452	48.9%221 W · 231 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	10c	159.86$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Under	51c	156.16$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdab8…542dbacked Over	73c	136.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	76cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x315d…1b39backed Under	21c	133.18$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.64	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-6.6wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcd2f…4270backed Over	66c	121.36$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.36	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over	59c	118$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	283	26.5%75 W · 208 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	206	51.9%107 W · 99 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb545…30e2backed Under	31c	97.1$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under	15c	94.04$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.21	360	45.3%163 W · 197 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0783…00d3backed Under	19c	93.84$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under	35c	85.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x230e…45b4backed Over	72c	69.44$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.44	58	62.1%36 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2082…fdffbacked Over	74c	67.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.57	53	64.2%34 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	55c	63.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under	44c	63.64$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	162	31.5%51 W · 111 L	-13.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47f6…8324backed Under	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	326	42.9%140 W · 186 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	42c	56.92$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.64	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c8…4573backed Over	80c	53.55$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.71	115	63.5%73 W · 42 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Under	43c	47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.21	103	59.2%61 W · 42 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d64…527ebacked Under	58c	43.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7397…1968backed Over	65c	39.98$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.99	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81ee…7a99backed Over	63c	39.84$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.84	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2468…3280backed Under	30c	39.37$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.19per pick	50cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	58c	38.47$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.04	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over	53c	37.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	190	64.2%122 W · 68 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over	67c	37.31$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.31	135	57.8%78 W · 57 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4010…eacfbacked Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Over	72c	35.63$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.06	208	50.5%105 W · 103 L	+16.9wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	42c	32.91$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2e19…958ebacked Under	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+3.8wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x827b…906bbacked Over	66c	30.42$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.42	45	71.1%32 W · 13 L	+5.8wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xace3…f9b0backed Over	77c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	93	66.7%62 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e5…f8a0backed Over	68c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	58	56.9%33 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa01d…dda2backed Over	78c	28.21$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.21	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed Over	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55be…fb40backed Over	68c	22.06$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.06	85	31.8%27 W · 58 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ee…2aafbacked Over	71c	21.23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.23	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	59cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc33…729cbacked Over	73c	21.2$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.65	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Under	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	275	54.5%150 W · 125 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	54c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.74	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 0.5this page
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 0.5Over won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5Over won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Over won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 1.5Under won
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Uruguay won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Uruguay won
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Saudi Arabia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event