TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,384

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,834 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c12,613$8,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,714.294,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over18c6,026$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.253,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c5,214$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.783,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over11c3,940$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.5164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3b…11fbbacked Over30c3,780$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.867358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under70c3,500$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over30c3,379$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.622,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under70c3,297$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.031,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over30c2,460$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.052,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over30c1,833$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under70c1,609$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.5861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under70c1,284$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.232,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over11c1,175$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0634924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over29c1,104$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Over33c1,093$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.321822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under70c1,052$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.743,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa28b…2832backed Over30c965.1$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.531020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-61.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over25c911.13$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.172,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over21c729.92$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.587027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.442630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under70c647.94$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3876551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d90…7e0abacked Over31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under70c628.28$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.253,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under70c599$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.713046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over30c576$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.81,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over30c551.1$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3313736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1cd…896abacked Over25c486.2$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.554831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under63c384$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.082,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x527b…c7bebacked Under70c350$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over10c347.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.014,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over30c345.2$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.568338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Over19c329.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9326647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf052…e10bbacked Over30c324.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.482157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over30c324.2$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under69c320.21$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2848152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under69c318.11$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8584751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over21c305.5$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.741,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over18c281.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.451,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over5c255.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.778643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Under71c201.75$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5129558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5827028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under55c199.96$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.981,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over31c190.03$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.914332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under73c183$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.271,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Over11c179.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.799233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed Under70c175.71$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.712277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over36c173$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2811338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over30c165.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1926537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over30c163.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4923729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over52c150.03$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1219838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under78c146.12$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.762,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over17c139.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.658032.5%26 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over16c125.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.947744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f48…0e01backed Over15c106.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1615130.5%46 W · 105 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31d…a83dbacked Under79c106.46$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.364067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over16c105.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6869744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over30c104$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.22,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over31c100.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.622,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc169…cb6abacked Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017047.1%80 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3057252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3092038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under55c91.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.091,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over29c89.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.136838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under68c84.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over30c77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.141344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4010…eacfbacked Under70c72.86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.869459.6%56 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb00…de0cbacked Over31c70.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Over31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe1…af91backed Over30c64.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3210047%47 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over31c62.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.357545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over21c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over30c59.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8435848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Under68c58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.562352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f58…ada5backed Under71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2673…7965backed Over30c54.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.493638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4814659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.62,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x315d…1b39backed Under76c39.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.673225%8 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under70c36.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51f…891bbacked Under60c35.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.044158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcae7…f4cdbacked Over31c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.951435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Under65c33.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8814768.7%101 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under69c32.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.181,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under70c32.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7411252.7%59 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under70c32.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.746167.2%41 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under74c32.14$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.451,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27c9…4abdbacked Under71c30.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4bd…c685backed Over34c30.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.331435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+108.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe325…34d0backed Under70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.576355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under65c28.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8436045.3%163 W · 197 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under68c27.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.833,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under68c25.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0547546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.