TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$784,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$825,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $784,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 559 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x882f…a8c0backed Over72c245,000$176,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,399.985366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c139,291$51,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,082.214,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under27c94,562$25,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,771.781,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under47c58,423$27,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,597.7264446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under35c45,510$16,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,098.9842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,399.9814445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c18,924$11,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,457.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over58c13,756$8,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,730.092,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under33c12,284$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,032.143,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under34c11,355$3,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,853.979233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under27c10,580$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.732,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Over76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4006155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over43c9,183$3,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,191.8819038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5254…891bbacked Over72c7,462$5,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.333834.2%13 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over71c7,382$5,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.651,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over73c6,917$5,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.5377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under31c6,553$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.668643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under27c6,000$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.961,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under11c5,474$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.8336437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under21c5,467$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.6544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over77c4,866$3,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.0737955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over74c4,586$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.192,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Under46c4,386$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under27c4,237$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.828025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Under36c4,214$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.1212254.1%66 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under29c4,210$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.2436235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over76c3,947$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.3711851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c3,917$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.011,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over67c3,911$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under28c3,529$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.3539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under48c3,500$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,69517447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a6…5f1cbacked Over56c3,250$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under29c3,233$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.542,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004027.5%11 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over59c3,000$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.4512241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.930465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under23c2,772$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.1844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Under34c2,735$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93012334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ab…8174backed Over66c2,660$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.465226.9%14 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under22c2,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5557828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under44c2,473$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.0833740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under57c2,452$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.3561750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under34c2,282$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.871,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d29…0206backed Over76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802572%18 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+67.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62010471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under41c2,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81010441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over71c2,000$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.861,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under28c1,964$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9943635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under50c1,921$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.6849441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over69c1,870$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.6221631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Over55c1,840$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.852352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over77c1,809$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.0710355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed Over77c1,780$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.65563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0561…51c7backed Over70c1,775$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.484250%21 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under37c1,633$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.152,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Over69c1,628$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.748057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdad9…c300backed Over71c1,606$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under17c1,603$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1930054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Over55c1,589$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.6111559.1%68 W · 47 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under45c1,556$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9923857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under28c1,546$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.9947235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under43c1,533$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.7943737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under3c1,465$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9926534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b1…36dbbacked Over71c1,455$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.811127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.458672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8926455.3%146 W · 118 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over72c1,379$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.1214463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under23c1,376$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.5316325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.338561.2%52 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over73c1,328$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5563544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over67c1,313$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.664,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Over77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.76556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under24c1,200$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28814246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under27c1,183$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.2851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over76c1,138$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.682,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ba…391dbacked Over77c1,131$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15dd…11dbbacked Over55c1,120$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.993348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1491…387abacked Under35c1,102$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.956241.9%26 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Under56c1,062$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.038243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under27c1,054$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.2463255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be3…6566backed Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.674847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under32c1,020$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde05…1ababacked Over72c1,011$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.062755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under50c1,007$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29013046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54013155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4908950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Over76c999.99$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under28c999.98$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.4964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Under32c997.47$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.1924616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…f93dbacked Over72c987.5$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.53545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under39c978.07$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.4625942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under31c960.25$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5310942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under47c960.04$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9925049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under24c958.33$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23019744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over76c950.79$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1417568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.