Fifa International · resolved market
Georgia leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdac241a8ea569de1974e3193fc35d2b11c93a1d83cdfe14494f22495fcddd7f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 3,396$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.25 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes | 54c | 1,928$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.89 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Yes | 20c | 1,750$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 1,563$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.51 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 58c | 788.65$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.39 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 63c | 477.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 394.31$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.25 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…1fabbacked Yes | 22c | 363.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 60c | 331.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 37c | 287.48$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.42 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 235.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 62c | 219.77$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 62c | 160.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed No | 31c | 129.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…ed9abacked No | 46c | 123$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f13…c15fbacked Yes | 38c | 111.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 29c | 101.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…ade6backed Yes | 43c | 88.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…1184backed Yes | 44c | 72.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Yes | 52c | 59.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…8ff2backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…9f42backed No | 46c | 37.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…44b1backed Yes | 38c | 36.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…eacfbacked Yes | 61c | 35.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 27.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…ddc8backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 80c | 14.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 91 | 74.7%68 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia leading at halftime?this page
- Bahrain leading at halftime?No won
- Georgia vs. Bahrain: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.