NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11bfe789289ffaeb456b6cf9fb6c9f3a7f8d5bb08efd0b3276c9ca69b0f495b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Knicks, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 56c | 4,371$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.44 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 42c | 3,413$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 56c | 2,444$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.75 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Knicks | 42c | 2,327$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.3 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…b731backed Spurs | 49c | 2,046$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Spurs | 59c | 1,550$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.28 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 62c | 1,532$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.79 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks | 42c | 1,401$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.28 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Knicks | 36c | 1,106$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.75 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks | 50c | 933.62$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.81 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Spurs | 58c | 851.62$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.68 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks | 47c | 785.48$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.84 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Knicks | 49c | 554$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.46 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs | 58c | 511.19$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.78 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs | 62c | 441$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.48 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 73c | 354$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs | 62c | 349.22$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.76 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Knicks | 44c | 303.21$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.17 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks | 44c | 250$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Knicks | 39c | 249.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Knicks | 46c | 246.6$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 43c | 216.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spurs | 63c | 206.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Spurs | 59c | 204.04$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Knicks | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks | 43c | 172$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Spurs | 65c | 144.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Knicks | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Knicks | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Knicks | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spurs | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Knicks | 35c | 92.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…e794backed Spurs | 65c | 91.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Spurs | 65c | 90.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Spurs | 65c | 90.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Spurs | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Spurs | 65c | 89.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Knicks | 12c | 88.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Knicks | 45c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Knicks | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Knicks | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Knicks | 42c | 67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Knicks | 42c | 66.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Spurs | 72c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Knicks | 44c | 66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Knicks | 42c | 62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs | 60c | 60.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Spurs | 56c | 58.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Knicks | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Knicks | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Knicks | 43c | 41.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…646bbacked Spurs | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…e652backed Knicks | 39c | 32.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Knicks | 40c | 32.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Knicks | 46c | 24.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…ddc8backed Spurs | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…1920backed Spurs | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 98.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 194.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 195.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 196.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.