Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe99adcbe474856e5aacde0fb98a2ba503f75cd63b298aa2dd7f0c28052c8b63a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 7c | 4,959$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.53 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 47c | 3,836$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.63 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 2,487$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.81 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 2,289$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.03 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 13c | 2,253$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.38 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 26c | 2,246$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.95 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 6c | 1,906$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.97 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 8c | 1,467$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.61 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 13c | 1,392$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.1 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 6c | 1,341$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.86 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 34c | 1,112$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.79 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 19c | 1,038$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.11 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 70c | 821.9$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.35 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 72c | 736.33$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.17 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Under | 64c | 659.6$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.88 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 69c | 645.09$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.57 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9d…743dbacked Under | 74c | 633.8$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 50c | 359.4$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.18 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 30c | 339.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.99 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Over | 20c | 320$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.72 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2887…a552backed Under | 8c | 310.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 74c | 303.34$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.9 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 76c | 263.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.73 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Under | 77c | 260.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Over | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.74 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 43c | 227.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.93 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 6c | 200.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.47 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 8c | 162.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +304.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 49c | 161.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 43c | 160$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Under | 60c | 157.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 23c | 147.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ee…b403backed Under | 58c | 131.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Under | 77c | 120.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 22c | 114.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Under | 75c | 111.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Under | 62c | 105.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 46c | 98.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Under | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 79c | 74.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…b32ebacked Under | 62c | 56.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 46c | 54.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Over | 50c | 46.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431e…5079backed Over | 46c | 43.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 51c | 42.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…bb2fbacked Over | 41c | 36.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 41c | 36.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 38c | 35.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b5a2backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Over | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 49c | 27.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Under | 54c | 27.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 24.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Under | 58c | 23.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…24ecbacked Over | 46c | 22.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Under | 79c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5this page
- Mexico vs. Serbia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Serbia (-1.5)Mexico won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.