Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85c4794dc512d319c205f966ec8d1c5138ee7639fc791e2b3deeb303bf33f607
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 46c | 9,905$4,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540.64 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…96a7backed Over | 17c | 7,343$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,095.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 6,245$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.08 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 38c | 3,883$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.69 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 52c | 1,675$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.87 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 26c | 1,539$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.62 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…d0a8backed Under | 33c | 1,453$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 1,238$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.24 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 17c | 1,166$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.18 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 58c | 1,050$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.27 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 47c | 1,029$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.69 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 49c | 1,018$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.76 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 47c | 1,005$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.65 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 988.82$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.47 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15dd…11dbbacked Over | 57c | 813.95$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…c002backed Under | 69c | 653.54$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.32 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 25c | 590.78$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.31 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Under | 13c | 579.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 533.96$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.37 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ee…b403backed Over | 58c | 522.41$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 79c | 506.8$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 31c | 387.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 16c | 333.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.24 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…8b25backed Over | 48c | 333$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 22c | 323.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.58 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Under | 53c | 314.42$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.64 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 16c | 299.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.96 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 67c | 297.25$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 17c | 292.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.47 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 279.93$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.74 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…a29bbacked Over | 34c | 268.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.55 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 4c | 260.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 16c | 240$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Under | 44c | 220.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 15c | 217.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e0…c1bbbacked Under | 71c | 217$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.07 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 61c | 182.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Under | 35c | 168.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 58c | 166.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 30c | 163.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Over | 67c | 155.66$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 56c | 155.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 18c | 154.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 24c | 141.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…7428backed Over | 15c | 132.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.79 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 49c | 129.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Under | 59c | 123.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 25c | 121.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 17c | 117.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.64 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 28c | 114.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 16c | 109.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bd…12ccbacked Over | 44c | 100.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Under | 59c | 99.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 78c | 92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 168 | 61.3%103 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 69c | 80.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 16c | 80$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 19c | 75.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 22c | 66.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…6b7cbacked Over | 69c | 64.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 51c | 63.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 65c | 61.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Under | 56c | 57.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…583ebacked Over | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…65dbbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Over | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…82e5backed Under | 57c | 32.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f00…9ec4backed Under | 33c | 30.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 53c | 27.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 69c | 26.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 53c | 24.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc34…799dbacked Over | 48c | 21.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 70c | 19.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 72c | 17.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5this page
- Mexico vs. Serbia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Serbia (-1.5)Mexico won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.