TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under46c9,905$4,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,540.6412146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd1…96a7backed Over17c7,343$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,095.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c6,245$3,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.083,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over38c3,883$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.6945428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under52c1,675$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.8713351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over26c1,539$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.6211238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd24f…d0a8backed Under33c1,453$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4792166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over47c1,238$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.242,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over17c1,166$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.1889443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under58c1,050$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.2731156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over47c1,029$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.6959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over49c1,018$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.7611820.3%24 W · 94 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over47c1,005$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.653,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c988.82$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.471,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over70c857.14$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1414866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15dd…11dbbacked Over57c813.95$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3503348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d4…c002backed Under69c653.54$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.322045%9 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over25c590.78$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.3120560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64de…25a1backed Under13c579.41$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.53520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under72c533.96$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.372,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ee…b403backed Over58c522.41$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.411450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under79c506.8$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under31c387.08$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.743737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508334.9%29 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over16c333.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.2428964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2518…8b25backed Over48c333$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over22c323.51$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.5825865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Under53c314.42$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.648941.6%37 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over16c299.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9617535.4%62 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Over67c297.25$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.097647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over17c292.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.477424.3%18 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c279.93$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.744,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Over34c268.5$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.559323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under4c260.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over16c240$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.61,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002222.7%5 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Under44c220.82$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.165437%20 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under15c217.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.328817%15 W · 73 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e0…c1bbbacked Under71c217$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.072766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over61c182.2$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0625455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under35c168.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6537650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over58c166.45$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.915942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under30c163.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9951514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9313345.1%60 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7328326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Over67c155.66$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.661330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-51.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over56c155.4$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.082,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over18c154.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1631550.8%160 W · 155 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over24c141.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7987651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf16…7428backed Over15c132.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.791520%3 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under49c129.38$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9463151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Under59c123.39$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over25c121.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7532740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Over17c117.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6424840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over28c114.29$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2916231.5%51 W · 111 L-13.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Over66c110$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.46555.4%36 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over16c109.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7718435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.78048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1752441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bd…12ccbacked Over44c100.57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Under59c99.61$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.889445.7%43 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over71c98.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5931747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Under78c92$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7616861.3%103 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over18c83.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3382340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over69c80.64$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over16c80$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.241344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over19c75.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2684738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over22c66.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8635658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8ed1…6b7cbacked Over69c64.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over51c63.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9438439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under65c61.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014766%97 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Under56c57.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3822052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89f…583ebacked Over48c45.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.832634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Over62c41.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.943839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Over48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.830040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa734…65dbbacked Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Over62c33.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.873151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb2…82e5backed Under57c32.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.343336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-44.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9355…038dbacked Over48c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.642564%16 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f00…9ec4backed Under33c30.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Under53c27.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.536740.3%27 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over69c26.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.224257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1319540%78 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911746.2%54 W · 63 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under53c24.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.13850%19 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc34…799dbacked Over48c21.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1171…16cfbacked Over63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.46355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d4e…c662backed Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.64153.7%22 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over70c19.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9131149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under72c17.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.511154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.