Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11f162975719e0423c920cb7517bec3fdb485a89c6dbf975d10fe299b904d177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd24f…d0a8backed No | 0c | 62,766$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 45c | 2,236$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.62 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4decbacked Yes | 47c | 2,033$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.75 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 54c | 1,584$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ee…b403backed Yes | 48c | 1,442$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 46c | 1,317$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.67 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed No | 17c | 1,208$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 55c | 1,000$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.47 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 44c | 889.84$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.44 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 56c | 837.53$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.23 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 735.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.48 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 58c | 699.93$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.96 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 620.07$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.27 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 582.79$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.17 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 486.52$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.41 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 481.64$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.41 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 479.25$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.38 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 448$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.6 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 42c | 431.95$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.03 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 54c | 407.71$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.42 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 45c | 389.78$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.49 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 43c | 375.16$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.16 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.09 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 43c | 273.43$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.86 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…6d0ebacked Yes | 45c | 267.72$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 61c | 243.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…0324backed Yes | 46c | 221.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.59 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 56c | 213.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 57c | 157.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed No | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…5f4ebacked Yes | 41c | 125.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 45c | 101$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 89.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked No | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb2…d7f2backed No | 56c | 70.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 52c | 64.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…fc3fbacked Yes | 43c | 54.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 52c | 48.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 42c | 47.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Yes | 43c | 43.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 47c | 37.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed No | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked No | 65c | 34.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…32d1backed No | 55c | 33.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 33.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed No | 58c | 23.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 60c | 20.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 161 | 57.8%93 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 53c | 19.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Serbia (-1.5)Mexico won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.