TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,933 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d63…2e49backed Under1c5,207$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.07825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-48%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under66c5,112$3,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,394.112,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over35c4,320$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.9513544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c2,349$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.363,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under56c1,438$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80016342.9%70 W · 93 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under55c1,319$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.9131156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under69c1,200$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.322041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over33c1,196$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.9789443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over32c1,011$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.713,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over69c875.85$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.272,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over65c866.37$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9420560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over54c753.51$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.5646939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over80c671.01$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.214866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under67c662.84$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.176551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under23c621.48$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.882,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under65c600$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39037451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40214051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c523.07$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.334,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d4…c002backed Under66c480.18$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.922045%9 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e52…cbb9backed Over79c460.14$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over51c405.26$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under35c372.11$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4263151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Over80c331.45$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.296851.5%35 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over32c321.79$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.0918435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c309.73$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.521,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19843826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under18c285.17$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.338643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over32c276.74$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.821,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over50c212.46$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9117442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa68f…7152backed Under68c209.54$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.392080%16 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1341,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over45c178$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3225865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under42c176.12$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4385550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under66c162.12$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10711253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over43c151.87$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8782340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under68c150.66$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4541857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10e5…b4e9backed Under67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011046.4%51 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Under67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over31c146.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.143,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17f…92d8backed Under67c144.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over47c137.8$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3935658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under38c135.28$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.361,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over34c132.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3552441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Under68c132.35$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905860.3%35 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over47c132.19$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8728964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under58c130.45$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6617535.4%62 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over72c114.69$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7430054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Over77c110$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.36555.4%36 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over36c100.9$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2287651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e0…c1bbbacked Under28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6716240.1%65 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Under69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694557.8%26 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over53c94.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4910451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Over34c85.46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.425454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Over34c85.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1422746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under72c84.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6115257.9%88 W · 64 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Under24c81.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4615059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Under60c75.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4524840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under67c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2516659.6%99 W · 67 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under71c70.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016437.2%61 W · 103 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under65c68.05$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.231,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0525…c737backed Under68c66.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455651.8%29 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over34c61.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6120330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8229636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0d1…82b1backed Under69c57.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406556.9%37 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under66c57.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9284844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Under43c53.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a3a…1ff8backed Over34c52.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9410241.2%42 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under67c51.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.918,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked Over44c50.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.14944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under67c46.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3135150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9355…038dbacked Over80c46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22564%16 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf17a…e44dbacked Under69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304763.8%30 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Over79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.430040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Under66c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.412636.5%46 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Under51c39.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.996251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Under67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257663.2%48 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over52c36.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.232959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over31c35.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8226631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc57…24aebacked Under57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc71c…62c4backed Under63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over33c31.48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0948152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over74c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0711238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over65c30.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9133843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Under67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.13435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.424257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x650b…683fbacked Under69c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.75358.5%31 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-1.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…bb12backed Under68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206358.7%37 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under66c29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1420053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under68c28.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3219038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf535…4103backed Under71c28.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206765.7%44 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under67c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6354859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1432740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a28…eff6backed Over58c24.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1412050.8%61 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under50c23.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6490840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2503…8285backed Under69c21.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.