TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,080 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c5,855$3,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under49c4,970$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.912146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under35c4,596$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5972,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over58c3,465$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.8913544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under30c2,110$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.791,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over57c1,404$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.5189443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under45c999.98$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9914433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under23c898.13$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.462,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under43c869$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.673,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over55c642.21$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.3230054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Under24c627.7$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4922560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27622041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under30c569.51$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under43c559.6$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6376551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Under37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over69c535.22$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2214866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over51c494.03$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.072,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under45c433.45$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.055228.8%15 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under37c399.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14721846.8%102 W · 116 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+61.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over51c396$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0413351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc46…a4f8backed Over51c390.2$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.24660.9%28 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c388.86$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.064,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under42c387.33$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6817535.4%62 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over69c363.68$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over53c341.2$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9563151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over57c341.02$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9538439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under44c326.37$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8318435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13535352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under30c299.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.671,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…d413backed Under37c297.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+57.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Over57c296.9$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.99822.4%22 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under43c271.41$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6984844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under43c242.84$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c242.1$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.168141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Under44c227.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005437%20 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Under46c217.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.17954.4%43 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under49c211.91$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.092,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under43c202$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8613643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d74…0324backed Over58c187.48$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.652669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Under43c184.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8930040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over55c183.38$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5238451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Over55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8111135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under33c177$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.411,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under34c171.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4141451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under34c171.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4135549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under17c165.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.24641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over55c160$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7235451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3a…1ff8backed Over57c157.89$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8910241.2%42 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over57c150.54$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7341857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over72c137.71$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5615059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Under44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under43c123.61$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.961,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under16c115.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7619038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdce…fa11backed Under44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over57c108.32$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7413253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over69c107.86$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4455153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over52c105.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb481…4db8backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.346253.2%33 W · 29 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over53c94.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1513850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Under45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d05…864cbacked Under45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over54c85$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.141344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under44c77.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9520330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over55c76.36$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3619540%78 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over71c71.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.832958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over56c68.17$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7624448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac5…d1f9backed Under44c68.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017647.7%84 W · 92 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Under31c64.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x166c…6d5abacked Over57c51.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.231060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Over52c49.56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7916052.5%84 W · 76 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under49c48.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.833,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over49c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4822450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c46.84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa734…65dbbacked Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked Over51c43.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.394944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over58c43.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.231149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under43c41.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8943653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.293542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.628964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Under43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156740.3%27 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10e5…b4e9backed Under48c34.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6911046.4%51 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over67c32.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.822,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8fc1…557ebacked Under54c31.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Under39c31.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.33per pick52cpaid-70.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1171…16cfbacked Over62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.46355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under43c26.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5183153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over57c26.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3348152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under43c26.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.181,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over53c25.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9718764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under43c24.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6654859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under40c24.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0490840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under44c23.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.487055.7%39 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe36a…ae58backed Under44c23.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.287653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over68c23.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4424257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over70c22.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6135658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over57c21.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4847744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.