Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x601e028e3d00c148844db3e679378e76ce4b60cae003a6fb73951f8945bffe77

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mexicoof Mexico, Serbia
Resolved: Jun 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $93,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $97,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,763 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbe7e…6d00backed Mexico	48c	22,931$11,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,930.53	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Serbia	48c	6,155$2,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,956.38	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Serbia	53c	4,807$2,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,570.36	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Serbia	37c	3,560$1,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,309.02	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Mexico	50c	2,975$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,474.72	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Mexico	63c	2,092$1,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.39	290	30.7%89 W · 201 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae4…011ebacked Serbia	64c	2,012$1,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,287.38	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Serbia	57c	1,907$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084.24	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Serbia	48c	1,887$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.23	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Mexico	45c	1,830$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.27	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Serbia	50c	1,679$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.64	355	49.9%177 W · 178 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Serbia	48c	1,600$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Mexico	50c	1,479$741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.32	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Serbia	42c	1,201$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.54	122	48.4%59 W · 63 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Mexico	51c	1,088$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.08	224	50.4%113 W · 111 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Mexico	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Serbia	49c	931$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.31	55	63.6%35 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc2…9343backed Mexico	46c	847.99$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.97	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3000…9eb1backed Serbia	68c	835.32$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Serbia	49c	803.58$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.6	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Serbia	51c	784.31$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f9f…da7bbacked Mexico	51c	757.76$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.38	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Serbia	49c	739.27$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.24	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Serbia	50c	724.1$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.05	414	51.4%213 W · 201 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Serbia	50c	671$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.5	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Mexico	43c	628.57$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Mexico	51c	600$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	140	51.4%72 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Serbia	48c	600$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Serbia	47c	592$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.24	188	50%94 W · 94 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Mexico	52c	566.21$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.78	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Serbia	47c	559$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.73	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Serbia	47c	531$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.57	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Serbia	53c	530.99$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.31	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked Serbia	50c	513.18$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.39	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Serbia	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Serbia	5c	499.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	127	29.9%38 W · 89 L	+7.3wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Serbia	47c	463.97$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.06	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Mexico	51c	459.85$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.48	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Mexico	55c	458.59$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.59	165	52.1%86 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Serbia	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	390	50.8%198 W · 192 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Serbia	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	384	51.6%198 W · 186 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Serbia	51c	355.98$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.55	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Mexico	50c	333$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.5	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Serbia	76c	328.95$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	61	73.8%45 W · 16 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Mexico	53c	300.44$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.43	418	57.9%242 W · 176 L	+14.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Mexico	46c	300.01$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Mexico	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Serbia	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Mexico	52c	300$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.89	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Mexico	53c	296.69$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.44	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Serbia	50c	292$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-6.5wins	-0.19per pick	43cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2518…8b25backed Mexico	58c	277$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.34	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	36cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Mexico	26c	269.54$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.33	175	35.4%62 W · 113 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Serbia	48c	260$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.8	399	51.4%205 W · 194 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Serbia	48c	248.1$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.61	235	40.4%95 W · 140 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf97a…6780backed Serbia	52c	240.67$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Serbia	48c	240$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.2	408	48.8%199 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Serbia	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Serbia	59c	203.39$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	260	47.3%123 W · 137 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Mexico	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Serbia	53c	190$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.7	141	46.1%65 W · 76 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Mexico	58c	179.31$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.31	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Serbia	48c	160$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	354	51.4%182 W · 172 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…03e5backed Serbia	46c	156.52$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Serbia	48c	156$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.88	374	52.1%195 W · 179 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Serbia	48c	156$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.88	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Mexico	50c	152.95$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.47	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Serbia	49c	145.13$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.83	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Serbia	48c	140$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.2	370	51.4%190 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Mexico	57c	135.86$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.42	133	51.1%68 W · 65 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a3a…1ff8backed Serbia	47c	120.08$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	102	41.2%42 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Mexico	56c	119.06$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.08	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Mexico	49c	117.26$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.8	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…cd3cbacked Serbia	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4b7…bc65backed Serbia	76c	114.37$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.92	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Mexico	51c	108.25$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.21	815	54.8%447 W · 368 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c8…c192backed Serbia	56c	107.14$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Mexico	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Serbia	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.32	244	48.4%118 W · 126 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Serbia	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.2	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Serbia	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Serbia	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	343	51.9%178 W · 165 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Serbia	45c	94.33$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.45	248	40.3%100 W · 148 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mexico	61c	90$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.08	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…af1bbacked Mexico	53c	72.83$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.23	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Mexico	58c	72.41$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.41	283	26.1%74 W · 209 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0e…c7a6backed Mexico	49c	70$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.7	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Serbia	50c	69.96$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.98	271	54.6%148 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Mexico	51c	63.82$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.27	249	35.3%88 W · 161 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea1…a3a6backed Serbia	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5993…c102backed Mexico	53c	62.26$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.26	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+103%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x745a…5733backed Mexico	53c	61.83$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.06	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+63.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Mexico	51c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	237	32.1%76 W · 161 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Mexico	55c	58.18$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.18	162	31.5%51 W · 111 L	-13.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Mexico	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	311	47.9%149 W · 162 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Mexico	53c	52.83$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.83	291	38.5%112 W · 179 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c3…81e3backed Mexico	51c	52.12$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.54	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Serbia	50c	52$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	94	28.7%27 W · 67 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Mexico	54c	51.88$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.88	823	40.9%337 W · 486 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0417…9248backed Mexico	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+4.2wins	+0.23per pick	55cpaid	+38%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)this page
Mexico vs. Serbia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5Over won
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5Over won
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5Over won
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5Over won
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Mexico won
Spread: Serbia (-1.5)Mexico won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event