TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,790
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,790 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed2e…2c74backed Yes23c21,739$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c15,852$12,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,371.3890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes22c15,004$3,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,300.841,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No78c12,077$9,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,656.947455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a58…61f0backed No79c10,603$8,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No78c6,357$4,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.446357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No71c5,963$4,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.681553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No79c3,671$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.872958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes21c3,224$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.0479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6602334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes17c2,730$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.142334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes21c2,707$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.4720449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes21c2,571$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.918334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes23c2,119$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.265125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f1…a190backed Yes41c1,507$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No77c1,245$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.4535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21032645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x148e…a431backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010049%49 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0a…4363backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes17c949.71$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.051,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes22c900.01$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19542851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb441…89a1backed Yes22c900$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7af…efb7backed Yes22c900$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes21c778$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.385650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes5c743.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1721322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes2c740$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2426930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes21c714.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes21c711.23$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes15c674.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c512.86$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.544,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes30c500.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed No68c500$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.763339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c478.59$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.82,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes22c460$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.24528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a7…a2f0backed Yes24c437.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes27c411.51$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes22c410$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.25151%26 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9222746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes21c392.5$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4353246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed No73c358$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.611957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No79c342.46$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.927851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3218…4355backed Yes30c331.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.53837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes21c309$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.893627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes23c306$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3830634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d4…e673backed Yes22c305.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6320642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6323947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes10c300$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110233.3%34 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…46e1backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Yes16c296.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.711741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Yes30c278.66$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes21c276.24$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0153242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf9…d6f0backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed No78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.412552%13 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes21c252.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Yes22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No75c247$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6915246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Yes21c242.46$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514637%17 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002462.5%15 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x019a…7df0backed Yes22c230$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No77c217$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4312944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Yes13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.293956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+52%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe059…66cebacked Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No70c192.63$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.835145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No80c182$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f9…0f1bbacked Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes36c170$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.22944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes19c166.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3214023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes41c160.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663850%19 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Yes34c154.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc1…f780backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2115832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes18c146.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.788045%36 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes21c141.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.696344.4%28 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed No78c139.68$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.735100%5 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e3…b088backed Yes19c139.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes20c122.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9529545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x091d…b305backed Yes22c116.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes23c110.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.141225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2762744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232548%12 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x956a…c48ebacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c73…e2ebbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x207f…793bbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f11…2c8ebacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.241,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203528.6%10 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202025%5 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes22c88.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.59840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No80c88.5$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.79158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No77c88$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2419255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c8c…7026backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick26cpaid+82.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205427.8%15 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.