TailMyPicks
Market

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4956…e2c7backed No57c24,346$13,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,799.827950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No3c6,290$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4730847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa796…82fdbacked Yes48c6,055$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,148.62268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes43c4,507$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,568.7910846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Yes49c4,080$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.661861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No56c2,920$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.620046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes44c2,647$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.115050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No34c2,589$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.198,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No27c2,420$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.981,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes44c2,326$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.635660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes43c2,213$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.2142962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Yes44c1,728$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.645543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No29c1,695$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.2910827.8%30 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No49c1,645$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.0150746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5534…1036backed Yes48c1,550$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Yes43c1,379$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.4910146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes77c1,212$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.791540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes43c1,193$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.9814540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes54c1,077$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.662,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes45c1,044$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.443234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No33c985.05$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.793,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes43c965.8$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.5123057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c834.07$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.213,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes43c810.27$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.0851749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c772.67$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.822,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes44c738.26$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.431838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No29c715.96$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.764852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No16c627.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.521,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No52c576.91$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9927349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes43c546.04$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2516534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes43c490.27$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.452,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Yes48c461.6$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.521070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No5c450.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5599259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes43c449.19$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0427549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Yes46c420.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.182846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2247149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c390.88$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.261,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No52c378.58$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7984943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes43c273$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.611,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Yes44c241.6$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.31050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0941…b254backed Yes45c223.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked Yes76c212.12$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.911973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.594139%16 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Yes48c199.61$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99ec…0da5backed Yes49c198.1$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.16966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+45.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes46c193.52$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.54731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Yes50c190.12$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.061546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No52c188.22$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8727855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes44c186.69$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.556838.2%26 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes42c180$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.455155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed Yes48c177.82$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0610157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No57c170.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3831745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…920fbacked Yes47c156.6$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes45c151.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4711140.5%45 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes71c150.85$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3810657.5%61 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Yes43c149.59$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2614535.9%52 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes46c146.51$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.113831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x091f…672ebacked Yes57c145.13$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.761050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e65…b28bbacked No14c141.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.862931%9 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes43c135.44$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7717560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No56c132.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3225955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No54c128.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6994848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes77c128.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.64447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes43c120.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6865058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes43c120.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6841256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Yes44c120.19$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No25c119.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7471619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xffe7…8ab3backed No19c113.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes53c112.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.512759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes46c105.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.79757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+40.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes47c103.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5225625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4819144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No47c99.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7933745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No56c97.69$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.751654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Yes80c94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed Yes80c87.95$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.967061.4%43 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes43c82.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8612259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes48c80.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.983345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Yes49c80.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.932572%18 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Yes77c76.85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.673658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked No51c76.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.182445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No25c70.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4313023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No37c69.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.951,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes50c67.9$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.951942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe86c…b5d7backed Yes49c66.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes49c64.26$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.777732.5%25 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.276541.5%27 W · 38 L-9.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf7b0…ae0dbacked Yes49c59.23$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.21875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f62…a825backed Yes44c57.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…bb76backed No26c56.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.923324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes72c54.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1125864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes43c45.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.012,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6a…8be9backed Yes44c44.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9379…f116backed Yes45c43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62c5…bf75backed Yes48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes74c39.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3810966.1%72 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1815158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9698…311fbacked Yes45c39.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.733839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes47c38.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.458137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.