South American Leagues · resolved market
Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-04-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c2ed0bb54efe4436f5f04cdfcb61da8e64390c2148df749fd9c51950f995634
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 1c | 3,493$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 3,019$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,844$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,257$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.77 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 1,046$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.38 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 24c | 538.56$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…2b82backed No | 80c | 531.21$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 76c | 520.87$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed No | 76c | 445.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 6c | 403.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 6c | 262.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 75c | 202.25$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 18c | 147.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 77c | 140$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 78c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 79c | 98.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 26c | 89.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 77c | 85.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed No | 79c | 81.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 22c | 59.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 22c | 59.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 22c | 59.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 22c | 59.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 55.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 76c | 29.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 17.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-04-24?this page
- Will AA Estudiantes vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.