Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41090f0c37809529219c6396f6901b69187e3deee8b4dadb846ffa9e55f98993
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 33c | 4,622$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.2 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 30c | 3,826$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.63 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 2,912$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.09 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 2,673$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.8 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 1,236$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.67 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 716.06$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.24 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 68c | 542.49$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.71 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 46c | 522.51$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.49 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 18c | 350$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 32c | 311.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 38c | 239.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 45c | 205.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 53c | 190.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 170.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 149.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 68c | 141.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 12c | 135.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 40c | 126.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…27f3backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Yes | 30c | 96.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 22c | 70.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked No | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Yes | 20c | 66.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091f…672ebacked Yes | 75c | 61.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…518cbacked Yes | 29c | 55.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 55.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 54c | 53.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 38c | 51.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 76c | 39.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 33c | 38.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 33.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 28.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 64c | 16.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 80c | 14.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed No | 72c | 14.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 79c | 13.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.