Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x824721dc1ec3355f2c607066bde395e98dc1f3d2a61105db8a6eb1c8f8eac22f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 1,264$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.83 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 908.18$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 30c | 618.11$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.37 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 71c | 495.9$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.81 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 340.67$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 45c | 337.8$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.93 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 49c | 146.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 73c | 126.28$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 20c | 89.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 61c | 79.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 28c | 75.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 43c | 67.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 23c | 60.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 29c | 60.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 55.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 62c | 40.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 71c | 33.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 43c | 32.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 37c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 56c | 21.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 71c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.